inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 103 Excitement5.4 [753] MVPJoe Johnson (ATL): +36.4%
Chicago Bulls 95 Comeback2.3 [199] LVPJosh Smith (ATL): -9.8%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joe Johnson0.360,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.360.220.13-0.011883%0.454-0.085100%0.04
Zaza Pachulia0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.040.050.002100%0.121-0.032100%0.02
Jamal Crawford0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.080.030.071661%0.071-0.034100%0.01
Al Horford0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01756%0.0300.00250%-0.02
Jason Collins0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.01-0.00362%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Jeff Teague0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.020.04-0.011145%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Damien Wilkins-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00450%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Marvin Williams-0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.01638%0.001-0.031100%0.00
Josh Smith-0.100,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.02-0.011131%-0.071-0.02450%-0.03

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luol Deng0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.090.010.011270%0.152-0.06683%0.01
Carlos Boozer0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.020.001158%0.081-0.022100%0.00
Joakim Noah0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.020.01755%0.0400.00683%0.01
Ronnie Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.020.00460%0.061-0.03250%-0.02
Kyle Korver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.000.03764%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Kurt Thomas00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Omer Asik0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Keith Bogans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.01437%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Derrick Rose0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.060.010.002744%0.033-0.0800%0.00
CJ Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.01736%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Taj Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.030.00333%-0.032-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.12.729.817.828.83.032.0140.2
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +33.7%
ATL +6.4%
CHI -0.4%
ATL +6.9%
ATL +3.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLCHINBAATLCHINBA
this game18.214.515.5117.0108.0105.7
season16.515.7104.0106.5
opponent15.915.599.2105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL17.817.018.220.018.2
CHI17.415.013.112.814.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Al Horford67690.61-0.110.720.2313-51819.015.83.1614.514.6-0.09
Zaza Pachulia16170.50-0.000.500.2110-21216.718.5-1.7913.514.8-1.29
Joe Johnson82820.480.020.450.2771618.415.33.0914.416.5-2.13
Jeff Teague82820.470.030.440.2962418.218.20.0514.317.2-2.85
Jamal Crawford66660.470.030.430.2962417.919.3-1.4113.916.4-2.47
Josh Smith61610.270.230.040.019-11018.318.00.3614.414.8-0.44
Damien Wilkins12120.060.44-0.39-0.0335-216.718.4-1.7016.814.12.69
Marvin Williams4038-0.110.61-0.730.00-412-1618.118.3-0.1716.013.42.57
Jason Collins1413-0.230.73-0.960.06-1018-2817.718.3-0.6015.514.31.11

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kyle Korver28300.17-0.670.84-0.3317-254212.715.3-2.5819.217.71.54
Keith Bogans3130-0.02-0.480.460.07-3-5215.813.82.0518.717.90.79
Joakim Noah7172-0.16-0.340.19-0.160-8814.016.5-2.4318.915.13.85
Kurt Thomas54-0.16-0.340.18-0.01-5-3-210.214.8-4.579.718.6-8.87
Carlos Boozer6364-0.18-0.320.14-0.09-3-5214.315.0-0.6818.318.00.24
Omer Asik1313-0.20-0.300.09-0.09-4-4017.714.03.7316.518.5-1.97
Derrick Rose7575-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.18-4-4014.017.7-3.7318.516.51.97
Taj Gibson2423-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.18-4-4015.614.11.4718.318.20.06
CJ Watson2020-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.12-102-1216.014.11.9917.418.5-1.06
Ronnie Brewer2727-0.43-0.07-0.360.01-157-2215.414.11.3516.618.9-2.34
Luol Deng8382-0.510.01-0.51-0.24-91-1014.415.8-1.3718.119.5-1.38


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.46,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.06,0.01,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
OKC 122, PHX 1060.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.43,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.34,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.19,0.12,0.19,0.03,0,0,092.9%
WAS 111, BKN 960.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.73,0.66,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.21,0.14,0.15,0.21,0.09,0,0,0,0,0,092.2%
CHH 107, PHI 990.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.5,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.1,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,092.2%