NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	107		Excitement	6.2 [549]		MVP	Tony Delk (CHH): +15.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	99		Comeback	3.0 [273]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (PHI): -27.8%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Delk	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15	0.05	0.09	-0.01	6	86%	0.18	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Glen Rice	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	20	53%	0.07	0	0.00	11	91%	0.01
Tony Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	8	56%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.06	0.02	-0.04	12	59%	0.07	5	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Malik Rose	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Royal	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	62%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Dell Curry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	12	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	9	55%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Vlade Divac	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	58%	0.02	3	-0.08	4	25%	-0.03
Muggsy Bogues	-0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	6	44%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Bradtke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Hendrickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	25	54%	0.11	5	-0.11	7	100%	0.03
Michael Cage	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rex Walters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0.03	9	55%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.01	19	47%	0.04	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.05	0.02	4	50%	-0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.20	-0.11	-0.03	19	40%	-0.14	7	-0.14	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.4	26.0	15.6	21.5	1.5	34.4	124.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +40.8%

CHH +7.0%

PHI -13.2%

CHH +14.1%

CHH +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	PHI	NBA	CHH	PHI	NBA
this game	13.8	14.7	15.6	108.1	96.1	104.4
season	15.7	14.7		108.0	101.4
opponent	14.7	16.0		108.4	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	14.4	13.5	15.5	12.2	13.8
PHI	16.8	17.0	14.0	11.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donald Royal	38	39	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.27	12	-4	16	12.4	14.6	-2.24	12.1	16.3	-4.25
Tony Delk	43	43	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.26	10	-2	12	13.0	14.4	-1.46	12.3	16.5	-4.23
Matt Geiger	49	49	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.26	9	-1	10	14.3	13.2	1.13	14.3	15.1	-0.83
Anthony Mason	96	100	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.21	10	-2	12	14.1	3.7	10.43	15.0	6.0	8.98
Glen Rice	88	91	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.20	6	2	4	14.2	10.6	3.53	15.2	11.2	4.02
Tony Smith	35	36	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.01	2	6	-4	14.4	13.4	1.01	15.3	14.4	0.90
Malik Rose	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	10	-12	3.7	14.1	-10.43	6.0	15.0	-8.98
Vlade Divac	43	46	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	9	-10	14.9	12.9	1.91	16.3	13.4	2.94
Dell Curry	37	40	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.07	-4	12	-16	13.6	13.9	-0.21	15.7	14.1	1.60
Muggsy Bogues	63	68	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	10	-12	13.2	14.9	-1.70	15.5	13.2	2.26

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Bradtke	46	43	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.11	6	-14	20	15.5	14.1	1.49	15.8	12.2	3.52
Mark Hendrickson	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-10	12	6.0	15.0	-8.98	3.7	14.1	-10.43
Scott Williams	8	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.02	-1	-7	6	15.4	14.7	0.71	13.0	13.8	-0.83
Rex Walters	43	44	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.36	7	-15	22	12.9	16.0	-3.15	11.9	15.3	-3.32
Jerry Stackhouse	99	94	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-8	8	14.8	12.7	2.05	13.9	10.8	3.14
Derrick Coleman	84	80	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.10	-5	-3	-2	14.6	15.3	-0.73	14.2	12.0	2.20
Clar. Weatherspoon	61	59	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.01	-16	8	-24	16.8	11.7	5.15	15.5	11.2	4.24
Mark Davis	33	32	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.23	-9	1	-10	11.1	16.4	-5.38	10.5	15.3	-4.80
Allen Iverson	103	99	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	0	-8	14.7	0.0	14.72	13.8	0.0	13.78
Michael Cage	35	35	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.08	-16	8	-24	16.4	13.9	2.50	13.3	14.0	-0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.5,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.1,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 104, DET 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.23,0.17,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0	93.5%
NOH 92, POR 77	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.6,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.11,0.16,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	93.4%
WAS 111, BKN 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.73,0.66,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.21,0.14,0.15,0.21,0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.3%