NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	91		Excitement	7.4 [386]		MVP	Donovan Mitchell (UTA): +24.4%
Utah Jazz	96		Comeback	2.7 [733]		LVP	Paul George (OKC): -44.3%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Adams	0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.07	0.02	11	83%	0.22	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Jerami Grant	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	6	64%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Huestis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.06,0.11,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.09,0.06,0,-0.05,0.12,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	43	50%	0.09	5	-0.13	6	50%	-0.04
Carmelo Anthony	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	7	44%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Alex Abrines	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.44	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.44	-0.31	-0.16	-0.02	16	15%	-0.29	6	-0.16	2	50%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.24	0.24	0.15	0.10	0.00	26	67%	0.37	5	-0.13	5	100%	0.03
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.11	0.01	9	52%	0.14	0	0.00	7	14%	-0.11
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	8	58%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	4	45%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	0.02	9	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	10	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.7	37.1	14.5	29.0	2.7	37.4	148.4
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +59.0%

UTA +3.5%

OKC -16.8%

UTA +2.6%

UTA +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	UTA	NBA	OKC	UTA	NBA
this game	15.1	16.2	14.7	98.9	104.3	107.5
season	14.2	15.1		109.4	106.6
opponent	14.6	15.3		103.3	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	16.1	13.5	14.7	16.2	15.1
UTA	14.5	15.2	18.0	17.3	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Patterson	4	3	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.01	-3	-2	-1	8.7	15.4	-6.66	13.3	16.3	-2.95
Raymond Felton	19	21	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.23	4	-9	13	16.2	14.8	1.31	17.3	15.8	1.49
Jerami Grant	53	56	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.36	8	-13	21	15.8	14.2	1.54	16.8	15.3	1.49
Josh Huestis	18	17	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-1	-3	14.1	15.4	-1.25	14.2	16.6	-2.39
Alex Abrines	39	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	0	-5	15.1	15.1	0.01	15.1	17.1	-1.96
Corey Brewer	29	29	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.00	-7	2	-9	16.0	14.7	1.34	15.9	16.3	-0.47
Steven Adams	74	73	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.37	4	-9	13	15.2	14.7	0.49	16.9	13.4	3.55
Russell Westbrook	85	82	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.39	-1	-4	3	15.0	16.7	-1.73	16.6	13.0	3.57
Paul George	87	87	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.39	-2	-3	1	15.0	18.0	-3.05	16.4	13.2	3.16
Carmelo Anthony	52	51	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.01	-19	14	-33	14.7	15.6	-0.85	15.0	17.7	-2.70

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Ingles	80	81	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.27	16	-11	27	16.1	16.8	-0.75	15.0	15.6	-0.59
Derrick Favors	73	75	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.21	18	-13	31	15.7	17.9	-2.22	15.2	14.6	0.65
Rudy Gobert	74	75	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.38	-1	6	-7	16.4	15.1	1.33	14.8	16.4	-1.51
Royce O'Neale	41	35	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.18	5	0	5	15.0	17.2	-2.18	14.9	15.2	-0.33
Alec Burks	34	32	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.02	7	-2	9	14.8	17.0	-2.16	15.1	15.1	0.01
Donovan Mitchell	74	77	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.35	-6	11	-17	17.3	11.4	5.89	15.2	14.9	0.30
Jae Crowder	55	56	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.36	-9	14	-23	17.2	14.6	2.61	15.2	14.9	0.29
Jonas Jerebko	9	8	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.03	1	4	-3	15.2	16.3	-1.07	15.1	15.1	0.01
Ricky Rubio	14	16	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.01	-2	7	-9	13.9	16.6	-2.66	15.0	15.1	-0.14
Dante Exum	6	5	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	9	-13	18.7	16.0	2.66	18.4	14.9	3.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.83,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.71,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.87,0.93,0.85,0.91,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 77, NOH 84	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.68,0.72,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.77,0.86,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.8,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.86,0.79,0.94,0.98,1	93.8%
UTA 128, PHX 136	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.61,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.8,0.89,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.94,0.9,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.85,0.91,0.99,1	93.7%
POR 100, MEM 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.69,0.7,0.81,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.83,1	92.9%