NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	77		Excitement	5.7 [709]		MVP	Quincy Pondexter (NOH): +9.5%
New Orleans Hornets	84		Comeback	2.8 [691]		LVP	Lou Williams (PHI): -14.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andres Nocioni	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.01	0.02	9	68%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	8	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tony Battie	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	12	54%	0.06	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	45%	0.00	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Jodie Meeks	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	2	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Kapono	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09	-0.04	-0.07	-0.02	4	33%	-0.08	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Evan Turner	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	14	23%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.05	-0.03	17	35%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	11	14%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	2	125%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	11	54%	0.07	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	79%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	7	64%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	72%	0.09	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
David West	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	13	53%	0.07	4	-0.09	6	83%	-0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	-0.03	11	17%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	1.8	27.2	15.8	26.2	2.4	37.4	135.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +59.7%

NOH +3.5%

PHI -15.7%

PHI -0.8%

NOH +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NOH	NBA	PHI	NOH	NBA
this game	18.0	17.3	15.5	93.9	103.7	105.7
season	15.5	16.2		104.6	104.6
opponent	15.9	15.5		104.4	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	19.0	18.9	16.4	17.9	18.0
NOH	17.9	16.1	17.1	18.1	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kapono	11	10	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.20	6	-13	19	17.7	18.1	-0.34	20.1	16.9	3.18
Tony Battie	11	10	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-5	3	17.7	18.1	-0.34	17.9	17.2	0.67
Andres Nocioni	48	47	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-8	9	19.0	16.6	2.35	17.0	17.8	-0.79
Marreese Speights	42	41	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.16	0	-7	7	17.5	18.6	-1.12	16.7	17.9	-1.22
Lou Williams	36	37	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.12	-12	5	-17	18.1	17.9	0.20	16.6	17.9	-1.21
Jrue Holiday	62	61	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.33	0	-7	7	17.7	18.9	-1.16	17.3	17.4	-0.12
Jodie Meeks	35	33	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	4	-15	17.8	18.2	-0.39	16.7	17.7	-0.98
Evan Turner	53	53	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	-2	-3	17.5	19.0	-1.46	17.8	16.4	1.35
Thaddeus Young	49	50	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.21	-7	0	-7	17.4	18.9	-1.43	17.9	16.3	1.65
Elton Brand	63	63	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.31	-5	-2	-3	19.0	14.9	4.07	17.2	17.6	-0.32

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	52	52	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.11	14	-7	21	16.7	18.3	-1.61	19.1	16.2	2.88
Willie Green	41	42	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.26	4	3	1	18.0	16.6	1.35	16.3	19.8	-3.56
Quincy Pondexter	19	19	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.00	12	-5	17	17.6	17.2	0.35	17.6	18.2	-0.58
Emeka Okafor	60	60	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.31	1	6	-5	16.9	18.4	-1.51	18.5	16.8	1.65
Chris Paul	58	58	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.25	2	5	-3	17.7	16.4	1.22	18.8	16.2	2.51
Trevor Ariza	60	63	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.39	-6	13	-19	17.7	16.1	1.64	17.8	18.6	-0.79
Jason Smith	21	21	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	3	1	18.4	16.9	1.51	17.1	18.3	-1.19
Marco Belinelli	50	49	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.19	-3	10	-13	17.0	17.8	-0.81	18.5	17.4	1.11
Jarrett Jack	32	33	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.05	5	2	3	16.1	18.1	-1.96	17.0	18.7	-1.76
Marcus Thornton	12	13	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	5	-3	17.7	17.2	0.52	18.1	18.0	0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.68,0.72,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.77,0.86,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.8,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.86,0.79,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 91, UTA 96	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.83,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.71,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.87,0.93,0.85,0.91,0.85,1	93.8%
LAL 96, MIN 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.51,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.94,1,0.99,0.98,0.89,1,1,1	93.6%
NYK 98, IND 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.56,0.54,0.65,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,0.95,0.99,1	93.3%