NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	98		Excitement	5.6 [752]		MVP	Bojan Bogdanovic (IND): +18.2%
Indiana Pacers	103		Comeback	2.7 [965]		LVP	Allonzo Trier (NYK): -16.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Knox	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.03	0.02	9	80%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mitchell Robinson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	3	87%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Emmanuel Mudiay	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07	0.11	0.00	0.04	14	66%	0.11	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0.01	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	6	86%	0.11	5	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Noah Vonleh	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	7	44%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
John Jenkins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damyean Dotson	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09	0.00	-0.05	0.03	16	53%	-0.00	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Smith Jr.	-0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.06	0.00	8	39%	-0.06	4	-0.11	2	0%	-0.03
Allonzo Trier	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-0.01	12	29%	-0.09	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.03	-0.01	16	69%	0.22	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.01	-0.02	11	57%	0.10	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	8	67%	0.11	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	62%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	9	56%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
TJ Leaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	5	17%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.00	12	36%	-0.00	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Myles Turner	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	15	39%	-0.03	2	-0.05	8	37%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.0	26.0	14.5	27.2	2.5	36.6	134.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +11.6%

IND +12.7%

NYK -5.2%

IND +24.3%

IND +6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	IND	NBA	NYK	IND	NBA
this game	16.0	13.4	14.3	101.0	104.0	109.3
season	14.5	14.5		103.8	108.4
opponent	14.6	14.1		105.7	112.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.0	15.8	18.6	13.8	16.0
IND	15.3	12.5	12.2	13.9	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Jenkins	11	10	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.05	0	-5	5	16.9	16.1	0.85	12.5	13.7	-1.18
Dennis Smith Jr.	49	51	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.38	11	-16	27	15.8	16.5	-0.74	14.3	12.7	1.61
Mitchell Robinson	27	28	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-1	-3	14.9	16.7	-1.76	13.4	13.6	-0.19
Noah Vonleh	63	66	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.30	2	-7	9	16.6	15.3	1.30	14.0	12.6	1.39
Lance Thomas	28	27	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.01	-8	3	-11	14.9	16.7	-1.78	12.6	13.9	-1.39
Allonzo Trier	47	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-1	-3	16.0	16.3	-0.39	12.3	14.8	-2.55
Emmanuel Mudiay	67	67	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.17	-5	0	-5	15.8	17.0	-1.26	13.2	14.3	-1.07
DeAndre Jordan	69	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.30	-1	-4	3	16.7	14.9	1.76	13.6	13.4	0.19
Damyean Dotson	71	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	-4	3	16.0	16.6	-0.65	14.4	11.1	3.28
Kevin Knox	48	49	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.02	-15	10	-25	17.5	14.8	2.65	13.4	13.7	-0.31

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Myles Turner	73	71	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.28	10	-5	15	13.3	14.4	-1.07	17.2	13.2	4.05
Darren Collison	59	60	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.26	5	0	5	14.1	12.8	1.32	16.6	15.4	1.14
Wesley Matthews	73	70	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.38	0	5	-5	13.6	13.5	0.11	17.1	13.6	3.48
Bojan Bogdanovic	72	72	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.24	2	3	-1	13.9	12.6	1.34	16.4	15.5	0.88
Cory Joseph	50	50	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.07	7	-2	9	12.9	14.2	-1.35	15.7	16.7	-0.95
Thaddeus Young	67	65	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.40	-6	11	-17	13.9	12.7	1.20	16.1	16.2	-0.06
Doug McDermott	32	31	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	1	3	12.7	14.0	-1.20	15.3	16.6	-1.33
TJ Leaf	9	9	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	2	1	13.2	13.6	-0.37	11.3	16.7	-5.32
Domantas Sabonis	38	37	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	6	-7	13.5	13.6	-0.14	15.4	16.6	-1.18
Aaron Holiday	17	15	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	4	-3	13.6	13.5	0.10	12.1	16.9	-4.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.56,0.54,0.65,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,0.95,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 103, DAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.71,0.81,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
ORL 93, CHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.51,0.58,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.89,0.99,0.99,1	94.2%
IND 87, TOR 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.31,0.31,0.42,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.77,0.77,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%