inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 87 Excitement4.5 [929] MVPAndrea Bargnani (TOR): +21.4%
Toronto Raptors 110 Comeback2.3 [609] LVPJarrett Jack (IND): -13.7%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Troy Murphy0.060,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.01-0.001262%0.092-0.042100%0.01
Jeff Foster0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.01-0.00350%0.0200.002100%0.01
Brandon Rush0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.00-0.01-0.03850%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Stephen Graham0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03570%0.0010.0000%0.00
Roy Hibbert-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05425%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Maceo Baston-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.0610%-0.002-0.0000%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Danny Granger-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.07-0.00-0.051138%0.002-0.03475%0.01
Marquis Daniels-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.020.00550%0.001-0.03475%-0.01
Travis Diener-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.000.03550%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
T.J. Ford-0.060,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.011645%0.033-0.091100%0.01
Jarrett Jack-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.08-0.060.001441%-0.053-0.09475%-0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.180.030.001190%0.263-0.05875%-0.01
Jose Calderon0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.10-0.000.02971%0.0800.00367%-0.01
Anthony Parker0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.01-0.01762%0.071-0.022100%0.01
Shawn Marion0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.03-0.01945%0.062-0.044100%0.02
Pops Mensah-Bonsu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.080.000.061064%0.062-0.051385%0.01
Roko Leni Ukic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.06333%0.0020.0000%0.00
Jake Voskuhl0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Patrick O'Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.00267%0.0010.0020%0.00
Joey Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.15-0.00-0.1270%-0.032-0.0000%0.00
Jason Kapono0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.010.001127%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Chris Bosh0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.03-0.001642%-0.012-0.08475%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.02.534.518.529.32.427.6136.8
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +23.4%
TOR +6.2%
TOR +8.5%
TOR +9.1%
TOR +2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDTORNBAINDTORNBA
this game14.614.515.587.9111.1106.4
season14.115.1106.5105.0
opponent15.615.3108.0107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND14.516.014.013.914.6
TOR13.215.314.315.514.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rasho Nesterovic14130.02-0.520.550.020-232311.415.1-3.7314.814.50.27
Stephen Graham14140.00-0.500.50-0.093-262912.914.8-1.8915.914.31.54
Roy Hibbert2122-0.00-0.500.49-0.000-232313.214.9-1.6715.714.21.47
Maceo Baston1718-0.00-0.500.490.08-3-201713.414.8-1.3816.314.12.13
Travis Diener4242-0.02-0.480.460.16-6-171112.915.8-2.9515.513.81.76
Marquis Daniels5250-0.17-0.330.160.12-10-13314.314.8-0.5214.414.7-0.31
Troy Murphy6562-0.27-0.23-0.040.14-14-9-515.013.71.3414.614.40.21
Brandon Rush5655-0.29-0.21-0.070.27-19-4-1513.915.4-1.4415.213.71.45
Danny Granger3839-0.40-0.10-0.290.22-21-2-1914.414.6-0.1813.914.9-1.01
Jeff Foster5153-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.15-10-13316.212.83.3413.815.3-1.52
Jarrett Jack7374-0.45-0.05-0.390.14-20-3-1715.312.42.9413.916.4-2.55
T.J. Ford5253-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.04-15-8-715.913.12.8013.715.5-1.80

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jose Calderon64640.490.010.47-0.041851313.716.1-2.4015.313.32.01
Chris Bosh67670.480.020.45-0.112031714.414.9-0.5015.113.41.70
Shawn Marion50490.460.040.410.05149513.415.7-2.2116.013.12.94
Andrea Bargnani72710.440.060.38-0.091851313.816.4-2.5215.212.92.27
Jason Kapono42430.370.130.24-0.212031714.314.7-0.3513.915.1-1.19
Joey Graham51510.220.28-0.07-0.161310315.213.81.3613.315.9-2.56
Pops Mensah-Bonsu45460.080.42-0.33-0.241112-115.513.81.7113.315.7-2.42
Roko Leni Ukic28280.030.47-0.44-0.12518-1316.113.92.1913.015.2-2.22
Jake Voskuhl1090.000.50-0.500.15-528-3316.214.31.8511.814.8-3.06
Patrick O'Bryant14140.000.50-0.500.09-326-2915.914.31.5412.914.8-1.89
Anthony Parker5253-0.060.56-0.62-0.18419-1515.014.00.9415.413.61.77


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.31,0.31,0.42,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.77,0.77,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 72, MIA 960.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.1%
MIL 71, ATL 940.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.7%
TOR 95, PHI 990.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.82,0.78,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.96,194.7%