NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	96		Excitement	4.6 [897]		MVP	Latrell Sprewell (MIN): +7.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	98		Comeback	2.4 [749]		LVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): -16.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	0.01	0.06	11	71%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Gary Payton	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.01	10	71%	0.07	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Slava Medvedenko	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Luke Walton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	9	22%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	19	52%	0.02	4	-0.11	6	67%	-0.02
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.06	0.02	11	52%	-0.06	3	-0.11	11	45%	-0.05

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.02	21	58%	0.11	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	10	61%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	23	53%	0.06	0	0.00	11	91%	0.03
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	4	60%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	67%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.03	-0.04	9	44%	0.03	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.01
Ervin Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	3	12%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	3.6	29.0	18.8	30.2	4.4	43.4	155.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +8.3%

MIN +16.1%

MIN +9.6%

MIN +17.9%

LAL -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIN	NBA	LAL	MIN	NBA
this game	16.6	15.4	15.7	106.7	108.9	100.5
season	15.4	15.6		102.8	103.2
opponent	16.1	15.6		98.4	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	17.3	18.4	16.1	14.7	16.6
MIN	16.2	13.7	18.2	14.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devean George	33	35	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.16	9	-11	20	18.3	15.6	2.71	17.7	14.0	3.67
Luke Walton	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-10	18	7.4	17.1	-9.69	6.8	16.1	-9.23
Brian Cook	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-5	8	4.0	16.7	-12.70	0.0	15.6	-15.62
Rick Fox	8	8	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.07	-8	6	-14	21.7	16.0	5.70	14.7	15.5	-0.76
Slava Medvedenko	12	12	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	5	-12	17.7	16.4	1.38	14.8	15.5	-0.71
Kareem Rush	19	18	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.06	-9	7	-16	17.5	16.3	1.16	15.3	15.5	-0.21
Gary Payton	71	71	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.49	8	-10	18	16.1	18.2	-2.10	15.5	15.1	0.50
Shaquille O'Neal	78	79	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.38	2	-4	6	16.3	18.2	-1.86	15.7	13.5	2.27
Kobe Bryant	84	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.42	-1	-1	0	16.4	19.3	-2.98	15.2	18.1	-2.93
Karl Malone	74	71	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.20	-10	8	-18	17.2	13.4	3.79	16.1	12.9	3.17
Derek Fisher	65	66	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.40	-5	3	-8	15.7	18.7	-3.00	14.6	17.7	-3.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Hoiberg	73	73	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.40	6	-4	10	14.7	18.5	-3.80	16.2	18.3	-2.14
Wally Szczerbiak	60	59	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.22	11	-9	20	14.3	17.8	-3.53	16.0	17.6	-1.61
Latrell Sprewell	82	80	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.39	3	-1	4	15.6	14.1	1.45	16.8	14.7	2.09
Kevin Garnett	85	85	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.45	0	2	-2	15.4	16.4	-1.01	16.7	14.0	2.71
Michael Olowokandi	34	34	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.05	5	-3	8	15.9	15.2	0.70	18.1	15.6	2.46
Trenton Hassell	53	54	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.47	-10	12	-22	15.8	14.9	0.94	16.8	16.1	0.69
Mark Madsen	33	34	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.15	-1	3	-4	16.1	15.1	0.97	14.8	17.6	-2.78
Ervin Johnson	10	10	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.04	1	1	0	16.9	15.3	1.64	15.4	16.7	-1.30
Darrick Martin	20	21	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	7	-12	17.8	14.8	3.03	18.2	16.1	2.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.51,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.94,1,0.99,0.98,0.89,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 103, CHI 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.98,1,0.98,0.99,1,1	94.2%
MIL 78, PHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.75,0.77,0.84,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.8%
PHI 77, NOH 84	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.68,0.72,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.77,0.86,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.8,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.86,0.79,0.94,0.98,1	93.6%