NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	128		Excitement	6.8 [491]		MVP	Quentin Richardson (PHX): +18.0%
Phoenix Suns	136		Comeback	2.2 [798]		LVP	Howard Eisley (UTA): -9.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	5	92%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kirk Snyder	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	7	71%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.01	-0.04	1	70%	0.05	0	0.00	8	62%	0.02
Matt Harpring	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	11	64%	0.07	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Raul Lopez	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	12	65%	0.05	1	-0.03	10	80%	0.03
Gordan Giricek	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Kris Humphries	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mehmet Okur	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	0.00	6	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Curtis Borchardt	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.01	11	50%	-0.01	3	-0.07	6	33%	-0.06
Howard Eisley	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	0.03	15	59%	0.03	4	-0.13	4	50%	-0.03

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.03	0.00	15	69%	0.18	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.06	0.02	22	69%	0.25	2	-0.08	17	82%	0.02
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.07	-0.02	13	60%	0.18	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.07	0.01	13	61%	0.13	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	90%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	58%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	100%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	65%	0.04	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.4	29.6	15.5	28.4	2.5	45.4	148.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +55.8%

PHX +11.4%

UTA -14.3%

UTA -2.6%

UTA -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	PHX	NBA	UTA	PHX	NBA
this game	15.3	13.0	15.5	125.5	133.3	104.0
season	16.7	13.5		102.3	112.9
opponent	16.0	15.1		106.2	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.1	18.5	15.9	13.3	15.3
PHX	12.6	14.2	11.8	13.4	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	35	35	0.26	-0.76	1.01	-0.04	10	-18	28	13.9	16.0	-2.17	13.3	12.8	0.51
Carlos Boozer	42	42	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.02	4	-12	16	16.7	14.3	2.35	13.9	12.3	1.66
Mehmet Okur	37	38	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.10	5	-13	18	16.5	14.6	1.97	13.6	12.6	1.04
Raul Lopez	28	28	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-8	8	12.9	16.2	-3.25	11.5	13.5	-1.95
Gordan Giricek	46	46	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.27	7	-15	22	15.4	15.2	0.16	14.0	12.1	1.91
Jarron Collins	42	40	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.27	6	-14	20	14.5	15.8	-1.29	12.7	13.1	-0.41
Matt Harpring	44	46	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.17	0	-8	8	17.4	13.7	3.74	14.4	11.8	2.58
Curtis Borchardt	15	15	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.02	-17	9	-26	15.3	15.3	-0.02	10.8	13.3	-2.52
Howard Eisley	74	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.25	-8	0	-8	16.2	12.9	3.25	13.5	11.5	1.95
Raja Bell	86	86	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	3	-14	14.2	20.9	-6.63	12.5	15.3	-2.80
Kris Humphries	26	26	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.02	-17	9	-26	15.9	15.1	0.81	11.8	13.3	-1.53
Kirk Snyder	35	34	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.02	-19	11	-30	14.0	16.0	-2.00	10.6	14.1	-3.59

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	82	80	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.20	13	-5	18	13.1	12.4	0.62	14.9	16.5	-1.61
Amar'e Stoudemire	82	83	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.21	11	-3	14	13.3	11.6	1.68	15.8	12.9	2.87
Shawn Marion	88	88	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.22	10	-2	12	12.5	15.6	-3.04	15.2	15.6	-0.42
Steve Nash	80	79	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.25	9	-1	10	13.5	11.1	2.37	14.7	17.4	-2.78
Joe Johnson	74	75	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.25	4	4	0	13.1	12.7	0.38	15.4	15.0	0.39
Leandro Barbosa	48	47	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	2	4	12.1	13.7	-1.64	15.6	15.0	0.66
Jake Voskuhl	17	17	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	11	-14	13.4	12.9	0.55	13.9	15.6	-1.61
Walter McCarty	39	41	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.09	-10	18	-28	12.6	13.2	-0.63	16.2	14.7	1.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.61,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.8,0.89,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.94,0.9,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.85,0.91,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 87, DEN 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.98,1,1,1	94.2%
ATL 81, NJN 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.78,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.96,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%
OKC 91, UTA 96	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.83,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.71,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.87,0.93,0.85,0.91,0.85,1	93.7%