NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	81		Excitement	5.0 [785]		MVP	Sherman Douglas (NJN): +8.6%
New Jersey Nets	97		Comeback	2.0 [444]		LVP	Steven Smith (ATL): -15.3%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Miller	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anderson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	6	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alan Henderson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	10	50%	-0.00	2	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	7	60%	0.00	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Chucky Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.03	9	56%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	9	39%	-0.05	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Eldridge Recasner	-0.13	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.03	13	43%	-0.05	5	-0.08	2	100%	-0.00
Steven Smith	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	15	40%	-0.12	1	-0.04	12	67%	-0.03

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.01	14	60%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	17	56%	0.04	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Michael Cage	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	14	56%	0.04	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	19	42%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
David Benoit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.18,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.02	0.01	18	36%	-0.13	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.0	29.0	15.5	21.6	2.5	28.4	123.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +22.2%

ATL -2.0%

NJN +24.9%

NJN +9.7%

ATL -4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NJN	NBA	ATL	NJN	NBA
this game	15.7	17.8	15.6	95.3	111.5	102.5
season	16.1	15.6		105.3	104.9
opponent	15.2	16.0		103.9	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.2	15.7	16.7	15.3	15.7
NJN	20.1	14.4	18.4	19.0	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Crawford	23	22	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.07	0	-16	16	14.4	16.2	-1.74	18.0	17.7	0.26
Anthony Miller	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-12	8	8.0	16.1	-8.09	13.5	18.0	-4.46
Greg Anderson	5	6	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	-11	6	16.8	15.6	1.16	13.7	18.1	-4.40
Alan Henderson	51	53	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.02	-8	-8	0	15.7	15.6	0.10	16.7	19.4	-2.76
Dikembe Mutombo	65	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.10	-8	-8	0	16.0	14.7	1.32	18.9	14.2	4.64
Chucky Brown	46	48	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	-3	-10	15.5	15.9	-0.35	16.8	18.9	-2.11
Steven Smith	81	83	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	-4	-8	16.1	8.0	8.09	18.0	13.5	4.46
Christian Laettner	71	72	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	-5	-6	16.0	14.1	1.87	18.3	15.1	3.17
Eldridge Recasner	79	81	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.02	-19	3	-22	15.5	17.8	-2.29	17.9	16.2	1.71

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kerry Kittles	75	74	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.06	20	-4	24	17.4	20.2	-2.79	15.9	14.1	1.86
Keith Van Horn	80	78	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.00	18	-2	20	17.5	20.3	-2.75	15.7	15.9	-0.16
Sherman Douglas	77	74	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.00	17	-1	18	18.0	16.2	1.76	15.3	18.6	-3.37
Jayson Williams	80	78	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.05	15	1	14	17.9	16.1	1.76	15.8	15.0	0.77
Kendall Gill	74	70	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.02	11	5	6	17.7	17.8	-0.10	15.8	15.5	0.29
David Benoit	20	22	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	13	-10	18.7	17.5	1.22	15.6	15.7	-0.16
Michael Cage	7	7	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.01	1	15	-14	16.1	17.9	-1.76	15.0	15.8	-0.77
Lucious Harris	22	22	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.13	-5	21	-26	18.4	17.6	0.81	16.4	15.5	0.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.78,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.96,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 82, SEA 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
NOH 89, DAL 121	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.76,0.79,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
CLE 85, WAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%