NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	85		Excitement	5.1 [796]		MVP	Michael Jordan (WAS): +19.0%
Washington Wizards	94		Comeback	1.7 [807]		LVP	Hubert Davis (WAS): -13.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jumaine Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.03	-0.00	11	59%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.04	0.01	16	56%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Bryant Stith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	60%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trajan Langdon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	7	56%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Ricky Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.00	8	35%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	11	39%	-0.06	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Chris Mihm	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	5	33%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	8	55%	-0.03	3	-0.09	4	25%	-0.06

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.16	0.03	-0.01	29	62%	0.19	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.03
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.00	4	85%	0.10	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	12	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	70%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kwame Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	11	39%	-0.03	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	11	17%	-0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.3	29.3	15.8	25.3	2.4	30.7	127.2
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +24.8%

WAS +14.9%

CLE -4.7%

WAS +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	WAS	NBA	CLE	WAS	NBA
this game	16.7	18.6	15.6	104.9	114.6	102.3
season	15.8	16.5		102.6	102.2
opponent	15.3	15.5		103.9	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.6	15.3	18.9	17.3	16.7
WAS	19.6	15.3	18.0	22.7	18.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trajan Langdon	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-11	13	13.5	16.9	-3.37	19.0	18.6	0.40
DeSagana Diop	5	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-11	13	13.2	16.9	-3.73	20.7	18.5	2.21
Bryant Stith	24	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-5	1	17.5	16.4	1.13	18.0	18.9	-0.89
Bimbo Coles	23	22	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.17	0	-9	9	17.7	16.3	1.32	20.4	18.0	2.44
Ricky Davis	37	36	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.12	-3	-6	3	16.7	16.7	-0.05	19.8	17.7	2.06
Chris Mihm	45	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-6	3	17.2	16.1	1.07	19.0	18.1	0.89
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	44	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	-1	-7	18.0	15.1	2.89	19.0	18.2	0.84
Andre Miller	58	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	0	-9	16.3	17.7	-1.32	18.0	20.4	-2.44
Jumaine Jones	49	51	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-4	-1	15.9	17.9	-1.94	18.0	19.6	-1.54
Wesley Person	60	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.21	-6	-3	-3	16.4	17.4	-0.98	18.3	19.5	-1.14
Brian Skinner	56	56	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.11	-11	2	-13	16.4	17.3	-0.83	18.1	19.7	-1.51

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Whitney	60	58	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.24	8	1	7	18.8	18.2	0.60	16.3	17.7	-1.39
Hubert Davis	61	60	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.24	6	3	3	18.7	18.3	0.45	16.5	17.3	-0.79
Michael Jordan	68	68	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	0	9	18.6	18.9	-0.37	16.3	19.0	-2.74
Popeye Jones	51	48	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.13	6	3	3	18.9	18.2	0.74	16.4	17.2	-0.81
Brendan Haywood	46	45	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.10	6	3	3	19.1	18.1	1.01	17.9	15.2	2.72
Tyrone Nesby	37	37	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.19	2	7	-5	18.9	18.4	0.59	17.5	16.0	1.44
Jahidi White	32	32	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	4	1	17.9	19.1	-1.12	15.4	17.6	-2.14
Etan Thomas	24	26	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.00	4	5	-1	18.8	18.5	0.30	18.0	16.1	1.97
Courtney Alexander	9	8	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	7	-5	17.0	18.8	-1.82	17.0	16.7	0.33
Kwame Brown	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	11	-13	22.0	18.6	3.42	16.0	16.7	-0.71
Bobby Simmons	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	11	-13	22.0	18.6	3.42	16.0	16.7	-0.71
Tyronn Lue	20	21	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	8	-7	16.9	19.2	-2.28	16.9	16.6	0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 114, POR 123	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
DAL 75, POR 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.7%
NJN 96, NOH 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.7,0.82,0.77,0.68,0.72,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.97,0.96,1,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	95.5%