NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	114		Excitement	4.6 [921]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +26.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	123		Comeback	2.0 [489]		LVP	Shabazz Napier (POR): -6.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.15	0.01	0.03	10	79%	0.17	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	9	80%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Wiggins	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.12	-0.01	0.04	17	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Taj Gibson	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	8	61%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Nemanja Bjelica	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	11	41%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	4	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Marcus Georges-Hunt	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	12	48%	-0.00	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.04

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.26	0.04	0.03	17	76%	0.27	0	0.00	7	100%	0.04
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.04	-0.02	9	83%	0.18	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.17	0.01	0.10	20	67%	0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.01	0.04	3	85%	0.07	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Evan Turner	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.00	6	64%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.01	9	67%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Layman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	6	43%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.12	-0.01	-0.06	7	20%	-0.05	3	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.3	2.3	27.6	15.4	30.5	1.0	27.0	123.2
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +33.4%

POR +2.9%

POR +7.6%

POR +5.9%

POR +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	POR	NBA	MIN	POR	NBA
this game	14.5	15.5	14.7	117.5	129.5	107.5
season	15.3	15.2		111.8	107.8
opponent	14.3	14.4		105.7	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.3	15.8	14.2	15.0	14.5
POR	13.8	16.2	14.6	17.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shabazz Muhammad	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-19	29	9.4	14.9	-5.50	16.9	15.3	1.53
Aaron Brooks	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-15	21	8.0	14.7	-6.74	17.5	15.4	2.12
Cole Aldrich	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-19	29	9.4	14.9	-5.50	16.9	15.3	1.53
Tyus Jones	41	39	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.20	6	-15	21	13.6	15.2	-1.69	17.6	14.0	3.63
Marcus Georges-Hunt	35	33	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.22	5	-14	19	16.0	13.7	2.34	16.6	14.9	1.74
Gorgui Dieng	34	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.28	5	-14	19	13.4	15.2	-1.78	17.5	14.3	3.16
Jamal Crawford	40	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.15	-10	1	-11	14.4	14.6	-0.19	17.5	14.1	3.42
Nemanja Bjelica	73	70	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.01	-8	-1	-7	14.7	13.9	0.82	15.6	15.2	0.43
Karl-Anthony Towns	63	61	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.04	-14	5	-19	15.2	13.4	1.78	14.3	17.5	-3.16
Jeff Teague	56	56	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.04	-15	6	-21	15.2	13.6	1.69	14.0	17.6	-3.63
Taj Gibson	60	59	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.03	-16	7	-23	14.7	14.2	0.56	14.0	17.9	-3.93
Andrew Wiggins	66	65	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.16	-24	15	-39	14.8	14.0	0.74	14.5	17.7	-3.21

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ McCollum	71	71	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.10	19	-10	29	15.3	15.9	-0.54	15.4	12.1	3.31
Evan Turner	53	54	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.07	12	-3	15	13.9	17.5	-3.55	15.1	13.8	1.38
Al-Farouq Aminu	54	55	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.02	13	-4	17	14.2	17.2	-3.03	15.4	13.5	1.91
Damian Lillard	65	67	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.02	11	-2	13	14.5	17.6	-3.11	14.6	14.3	0.29
Ed Davis	48	49	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.08	14	-5	19	17.0	13.9	3.04	14.3	14.8	-0.55
Jusuf Nurkic	41	42	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	4	1	13.6	16.9	-3.24	15.7	13.7	2.04
Pat Connaughton	42	44	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.06	7	2	5	17.6	13.8	3.89	14.0	15.0	-0.98
Shabazz Napier	42	43	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.20	-2	11	-13	16.9	14.4	2.52	14.3	14.7	-0.34
Zach Collins	35	36	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.08	6	3	3	17.4	14.3	3.05	14.2	14.7	-0.45
Noah Vonleh	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	19	-29	16.0	15.4	0.56	8.7	14.9	-6.26
Meyers Leonard	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	19	-29	16.0	15.4	0.56	8.7	14.9	-6.26
Jake Layman	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	19	-29	16.0	15.4	0.56	8.7	14.9	-6.26
Maurice Harkless	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	19	-29	16.0	15.4	0.56	8.7	14.9	-6.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 85, WAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
TOR 95, PHI 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.82,0.78,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.96,1	95.6%
NJN 96, NOH 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.7,0.82,0.77,0.68,0.72,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.97,0.96,1,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	95.6%