NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	96		Excitement	4.4 [911]		MVP	Julian Wright (NOH): +11.6%
New Orleans Hornets	107		Comeback	1.9 [952]		LVP	Devin Harris (NJN): -16.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nenad Krstic	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	70%	0.09	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.12	-0.04	0.06	22	59%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Ager	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	18	53%	0.09	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	5	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	11	45%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.06	-0.05	0.06	15	55%	-0.02	6	-0.15	1	100%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.18	0.00	0.07	9	91%	0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	0.01	0.05	14	64%	0.11	1	-0.03	11	100%	0.02
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	9	73%	0.14	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.02
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	7	64%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	7	56%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	14	47%	0.01	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	0.8	26.6	15.6	26.2	1.6	30.4	123.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +22.0%

NOH +14.9%

NOH +10.9%

NOH +3.1%

NJN -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	NOH	NBA	NJN	NOH	NBA
this game	15.6	15.0	15.4	102.1	113.8	105.7
season	15.4	15.9		101.8	109.6
opponent	15.7	15.5		104.0	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	13.5	18.6	15.8	14.7	15.6
NOH	17.2	13.5	13.0	16.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Ager	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-13	15	9.0	15.7	-6.74	22.0	14.9	7.11
Stromile Swift	10	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-11	11	18.5	15.2	3.25	14.4	15.1	-0.72
Sean Williams	9	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-11	11	11.7	16.0	-4.35	18.1	14.7	3.39
DeSagana Diop	24	22	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	-7	3	16.5	15.3	1.21	15.2	15.0	0.18
Trenton Hassell	21	21	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	-5	-1	17.3	15.1	2.24	15.0	15.1	-0.05
Marcus Williams	51	51	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-8	5	15.0	16.3	-1.26	15.6	14.4	1.24
Nenad Krstic	55	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-5	-1	16.4	14.5	1.94	15.1	15.0	0.12
Josh Boone	63	64	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	-1	-9	15.1	16.5	-1.42	14.1	17.0	-2.83
Devin Harris	73	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.13	-7	-4	-3	15.6	15.5	0.15	15.0	15.3	-0.36
Richard Jefferson	81	81	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.16	-9	-2	-7	15.2	17.8	-2.61	14.9	16.2	-1.29
Vince Carter	81	82	-0.51	0.00	-0.51	-0.15	-12	1	-13	15.6	15.4	0.25	15.2	14.2	0.91

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	72	72	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.09	12	-1	13	14.9	15.5	-0.66	15.4	16.3	-0.88
Chris Paul	82	83	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.18	9	2	7	15.1	14.5	0.62	15.1	19.1	-3.96
Tyson Chandler	74	73	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.14	9	2	7	15.0	15.2	-0.20	15.5	15.8	-0.28
Julian Wright	56	57	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.18	6	5	1	15.0	15.2	-0.19	16.1	14.8	1.25
Morris Peterson	51	51	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.13	5	6	-1	14.3	16.0	-1.68	15.9	15.3	0.63
Jannero Pargo	43	43	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.05	6	5	1	16.0	14.3	1.68	15.3	15.9	-0.63
Melvin Ely	31	33	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.04	8	3	5	15.6	14.7	0.90	15.7	15.5	0.16
Ryan Bowen	49	47	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.16	-2	13	-15	15.0	15.0	-0.00	15.3	15.9	-0.51
Mike James	12	11	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	9	-7	14.5	15.1	-0.62	19.1	15.1	3.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.7,0.82,0.77,0.68,0.72,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.97,0.96,1,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 114, POR 123	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
CLE 85, WAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
PHI 88, LAC 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.3%