NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	104		Excitement	3.8 [1046]		MVP	Joe Ingles (UTA): +10.5%
LA Clippers	91		Comeback	1.1 [587]		LVP	Austin Rivers (LAC): -8.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Ingles	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.01	0.02	6	86%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Favors	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.01	0.02	11	71%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Rodney Hood	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.03	6	73%	0.11	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Boris Diaw	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	6	71%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Gordon Hayward	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.00	0.05	20	57%	0.04	2	-0.01	6	100%	0.02
George Hill	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	13	61%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Rudy Gobert	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jeff Withey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Exum	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	13	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	4	67%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.02	0.05	12	62%	0.06	2	-0.05	15	40%	-0.04
JJ Redick	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	5	30%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	0.01	0.10	16	57%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	5	57%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.13	-0.02	-0.08	19	33%	-0.01	3	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	12	37%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	3.4	27.6	16.6	32.2	3.5	38.4	149.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +24.6%

UTA +12.4%

UTA +0.2%

UTA +9.5%

UTA +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAC	NBA	UTA	LAC	NBA
this game	16.5	14.8	14.8	113.0	98.9	107.7
season	16.1	15.0		108.0	110.8
opponent	14.8	15.0		106.6	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.3	15.4	14.4	19.8	16.5
LAC	15.6	17.3	15.0	11.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Hill	67	66	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.13	21	-8	29	16.5	16.5	-0.00	15.2	13.8	1.42
Gordon Hayward	81	82	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.08	13	0	13	16.6	15.5	1.16	14.5	17.3	-2.78
Derrick Favors	60	58	0.45	0.06	0.39	0.01	15	-2	17	15.4	18.5	-3.05	14.4	15.6	-1.16
Joe Ingles	71	69	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.19	6	7	-1	17.1	14.5	2.53	13.8	18.0	-4.17
Joe Johnson	59	60	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.03	8	5	3	16.1	17.1	-0.96	14.6	15.3	-0.75
Boris Diaw	33	32	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.06	9	4	5	16.5	16.5	0.01	15.6	14.4	1.13
Dante Exum	15	16	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.06	4	9	-5	15.8	16.6	-0.81	14.4	14.9	-0.47
Rudy Gobert	23	26	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	12	-11	19.3	15.6	3.71	15.3	14.6	0.72
Shelvin Mack	6	6	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	10	-7	14.8	16.6	-1.76	19.0	14.5	4.47
Rodney Hood	37	38	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.23	-8	21	-29	16.1	16.7	-0.62	15.6	14.3	1.33
Jeff Withey	4	4	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	16	-19	18.0	16.4	1.59	21.7	14.5	7.24
Raul Neto	4	3	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	17	-21	15.2	16.5	-1.28	14.0	14.9	-0.85

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marreese Speights	18	19	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.14	3	-16	19	14.1	15.0	-0.96	15.0	16.9	-1.86
Raymond Felton	46	46	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.20	5	-18	23	14.3	15.3	-1.04	16.5	16.5	0.00
Paul Pierce	44	42	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.02	-7	-6	-1	14.9	14.7	0.16	15.4	17.4	-2.06
Jamal Crawford	62	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-10	7	13.9	16.8	-2.98	16.8	15.8	0.94
Luc Mbah a Moute	26	26	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-4	-5	17.6	13.7	3.89	16.0	16.7	-0.67
JJ Redick	42	41	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.10	-16	3	-19	15.5	14.3	1.15	16.7	16.3	0.37
Chris Paul	75	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	-3	-7	14.9	14.6	0.22	17.0	14.2	2.82
DeAndre Jordan	74	73	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.02	-16	3	-19	15.0	14.1	0.96	16.9	15.0	1.86
Austin Rivers	73	74	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.14	-12	-1	-11	14.5	15.9	-1.41	16.4	16.8	-0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.31,0.35,0.25,0.22,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.17,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.04,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 93, SAS 78	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
IND 84, UTA 60	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.15,0.19,0.12,0.15,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
ATL 113, MIN 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	95.9%