NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	113		Excitement	4.5 [956]		MVP	Wesley Johnson (MIN): +13.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves	103		Comeback	1.2 [1118]		LVP	Michael Beasley (MIN): -13.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Smith	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.14	0.01	0.04	13	69%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.02	14	67%	0.19	6	-0.11	5	100%	0.01
Josh Powell	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	6	83%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	3	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Al Horford	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	11	64%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	58%	0.03	1	-0.01	8	62%	-0.01
Mike Bibby	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	11	60%	0.08	4	-0.07	3	67%	-0.02
Jordan Crawford	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	13	38%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.16	0.02	0.05	11	82%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.01	-0.05	16	53%	0.10	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	6	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	0.05	19	42%	-0.09	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.01
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.02	0.03	17	41%	-0.08	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	27.0	15.4	24.1	1.8	34.2	129.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +42.3%

ATL +3.4%

ATL +10.1%

MIN -5.1%

MIN -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIN	NBA	ATL	MIN	NBA
this game	15.7	13.7	15.5	115.3	105.1	105.7
season	16.5	14.3		104.0	102.7
opponent	15.1	15.5		109.5	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.1	14.8	16.2	17.6	15.7
MIN	14.7	14.0	14.4	11.9	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Smith	81	81	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.11	15	-5	20	15.8	14.8	1.07	13.7	13.9	-0.18
Al Horford	50	50	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.02	16	-6	22	15.6	15.7	-0.15	14.2	13.3	0.87
Mike Bibby	57	58	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.00	15	-5	20	16.1	15.1	1.00	14.3	12.9	1.33
Jason Collins	43	43	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.06	13	-3	16	14.2	16.8	-2.57	14.9	12.8	2.13
Joe Johnson	73	75	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.19	4	6	-2	16.2	14.0	2.22	13.9	13.3	0.51
Jamal Crawford	65	65	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.28	0	10	-10	16.1	14.7	1.40	13.1	14.9	-1.82
Zaza Pachulia	39	39	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.20	-4	14	-18	16.3	15.3	1.00	13.3	14.0	-0.75
Jeff Teague	33	31	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.14	-3	13	-16	15.0	16.0	-1.03	12.8	14.1	-1.31
Jordan Crawford	22	21	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	10	-10	12.5	16.6	-4.01	13.3	13.9	-0.57
Josh Powell	27	27	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.16	-6	16	-22	16.5	15.3	1.14	13.1	14.0	-0.81

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Tolliver	44	45	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.12	3	-13	16	13.4	14.0	-0.59	15.9	15.5	0.39
Nikola Pekovic	25	26	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.09	0	-10	10	13.0	14.0	-0.93	17.3	15.1	2.25
Corey Brewer	50	50	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.23	3	-13	16	12.6	14.9	-2.28	17.0	14.2	2.83
Darko Milicic	45	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.04	-8	-2	-6	14.9	12.8	2.09	14.2	16.9	-2.65
Sebastian Telfair	55	54	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.26	1	-11	12	13.0	14.6	-1.59	16.5	14.6	1.97
Wayne Ellington	25	24	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	0	-10	14.6	13.5	1.11	14.0	16.2	-2.19
Luke Ridnour	43	44	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.06	-11	1	-12	14.6	13.0	1.59	14.6	16.5	-1.97
Wesley Johnson	73	72	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.25	-2	-8	6	13.7	13.8	-0.03	15.7	15.4	0.31
Michael Beasley	74	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.16	-9	-1	-8	13.8	13.7	0.09	15.6	15.8	-0.18
Kevin Love	56	56	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.06	-17	7	-24	14.0	13.4	0.62	15.3	16.1	-0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 104, LAC 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.31,0.35,0.25,0.22,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.17,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.04,0,0,0	95.9%
SEA 108, VAN 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.37,0.29,0.2,0.18,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	95.3%
HOU 95, BOS 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%