NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	93		Excitement	3.4 [1078]		MVP	Dale Davis (IND): +8.0%
San Antonio Spurs	78		Comeback	1.1 [581]		LVP	Sean Elliott (SAS): -10.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Davis	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.00	-0.02	8	72%	0.08	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.03	7	83%	0.04	2	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Duane Ferrell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	5	71%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Derrick McKey	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	10	60%	0.05	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Jalen Rose	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vincent Askew	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	8	55%	0.03	3	-0.04	6	100%	0.01
Antonio Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	65%	0.04	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Allen	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	3	12%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Travis Best	-0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.02	-0.05	11	50%	-0.01	5	-0.07	6	50%	-0.04

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cory Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.05	8	75%	0.01	2	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Tim Kempton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Greg Anderson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	3	37%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Carl Herrera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	11	43%	0.00	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	21	38%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dominique Wilkins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	18	45%	-0.03	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Sean Elliott	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	9	39%	-0.04	3	-0.07	5	40%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	25.6	15.8	27.5	2.4	28.6	125.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +34.9%

IND +8.4%

IND +13.7%

SAS -6.9%

SAS -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	SAS	NBA	IND	SAS	NBA
this game	15.9	16.1	15.6	103.3	86.7	104.4
season	15.3	16.8		103.6	100.8
opponent	15.4	16.3		109.4	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.1	14.8	15.2	16.3	15.9
SAS	14.2	19.5	15.4	15.7	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick McKey	66	68	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.09	23	-8	31	15.2	17.7	-2.44	17.0	13.5	3.47
Dale Davis	70	72	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.29	8	7	1	16.0	15.3	0.68	15.6	18.1	-2.49
Antonio Davis	57	56	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.26	22	-7	29	15.7	16.2	-0.43	17.0	14.6	2.37
Reggie Miller	56	57	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.06	13	2	11	15.7	16.2	-0.53	17.4	14.0	3.35
Jerome Allen	28	28	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.00	10	5	5	15.7	15.9	-0.19	17.6	15.4	2.21
Travis Best	62	62	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.06	5	10	-5	15.9	15.7	0.19	15.4	17.6	-2.21
Fred Hoiberg	34	33	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.12	2	13	-11	16.2	15.7	0.53	14.0	17.4	-3.35
Duane Ferrell	25	22	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	13	-11	16.2	15.8	0.45	15.6	16.3	-0.64
Vincent Askew	30	31	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.07	-1	16	-17	17.6	15.0	2.63	15.8	16.3	-0.53
Jalen Rose	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	14.1	16.0	-1.92	12.3	16.4	-4.16
Erick Dampier	14	14	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.10	-7	22	-29	15.5	15.9	-0.45	14.4	16.4	-2.01

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cory Alexander	36	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.24	5	-20	25	15.3	16.7	-1.41	16.0	15.8	0.20
Monty Williams	42	41	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-18	21	15.5	16.7	-1.26	16.3	15.5	0.81
Tim Kempton	17	17	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.11	0	-15	15	15.4	16.3	-0.88	16.0	15.8	0.15
Greg Anderson	43	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	-8	1	16.4	15.9	0.48	15.7	16.1	-0.39
Vernon Maxwell	80	80	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-6	-3	15.6	20.1	-4.47	15.7	17.2	-1.49
Sean Elliott	62	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.21	-21	6	-27	16.1	16.1	0.02	15.3	17.1	-1.73
Avery Johnson	54	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.18	-20	5	-25	16.7	15.3	1.41	15.8	16.0	-0.20
Carl Herrera	44	43	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.08	-11	-4	-7	16.4	15.8	0.61	15.7	16.1	-0.43
Dominique Wilkins	72	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	0	-15	16.9	13.1	3.83	16.5	13.1	3.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 97, PHI 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
UTA 104, LAC 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.31,0.35,0.25,0.22,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.17,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.04,0,0,0	96.3%
IND 84, UTA 60	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.15,0.19,0.12,0.15,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%