NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	84		Excitement	3.6 [1107]		MVP	Jamaal Tinsley (IND): +9.5%
Utah Jazz	60		Comeback	1.2 [532]		LVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): -12.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamaal Tinsley	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.02	-0.02	9	70%	0.13	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	6	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	12	37%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.03	13	62%	0.09	4	-0.09	8	87%	0.02
Samaki Walker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
David Harrison	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	4	33%	0.00	2	-0.02	4	50%	0.00
Fred Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	0.00	0.06	7	56%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Danny Granger	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	4	25%	-0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	10	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Austin Croshere	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.02	0.05	6	58%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	8	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	10	56%	0.04	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Andre Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	50%	0.00
Robert Whaley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.14	0.00	-0.09	5	0%	0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	6	47%	0.01	3	-0.07	3	33%	-0.03
Matt Harpring	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	6	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	7	14%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	9	38%	-0.06	4	-0.07	3	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.8	30.1	15.8	25.0	1.8	29.0	127.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +23.9%

IND +7.1%

IND +7.8%

IND +15.3%

UTA -4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	UTA	NBA	IND	UTA	NBA
this game	16.0	16.4	15.6	94.4	67.4	104.4
season	16.0	17.0		102.3	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.5		104.6	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.7	15.7	16.0	18.8	16.0
UTA	19.0	13.1	18.3	15.5	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	61	62	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.14	22	2	20	15.6	16.9	-1.37	16.8	15.4	1.33
Austin Croshere	49	49	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.25	24	0	24	16.1	15.8	0.34	17.3	15.3	1.99
Stephen Jackson	59	61	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.07	18	6	12	15.3	17.3	-1.98	17.3	14.4	2.94
Jamaal Tinsley	49	48	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.02	14	10	4	15.0	17.2	-2.25	17.2	15.3	1.91
Metta World Peace	54	56	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.26	23	1	22	16.0	16.0	-0.07	16.5	16.1	0.40
Fred Jones	45	43	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.17	9	15	-6	17.4	14.6	2.81	15.5	17.2	-1.71
Sarunas Jasikevicius	44	44	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.21	10	14	-4	17.1	14.9	2.18	15.5	17.2	-1.63
Danny Granger	38	37	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.09	5	19	-14	16.7	15.5	1.17	16.2	16.5	-0.36
David Harrison	25	24	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.07	-2	26	-28	16.2	15.9	0.29	14.8	17.0	-2.16
Samaki Walker	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	25	-26	14.2	16.2	-2.02	14.2	16.6	-2.45
Anthony Johnson	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	26	-28	14.6	16.2	-1.54	13.3	16.8	-3.53

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Miles	23	23	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.10	-4	-20	16	14.8	16.9	-2.08	19.0	15.0	4.00
Jarron Collins	18	20	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.00	-2	-22	20	15.7	16.5	-0.88	15.4	16.2	-0.76
Kris Humphries	45	46	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.18	-9	-15	6	15.7	17.1	-1.42	17.2	14.7	2.50
Milt Palacio	47	47	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.18	-9	-15	6	15.4	17.4	-2.00	17.3	14.5	2.73
Robert Whaley	25	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-19	14	14.6	17.1	-2.46	16.3	15.9	0.40
Andrei Kirilenko	46	45	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.05	-5	-19	14	16.3	16.5	-0.23	15.8	16.2	-0.43
Andre Owens	20	20	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-23	22	13.9	17.1	-3.12	14.8	16.3	-1.53
Greg Ostertag	33	32	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.07	-12	-12	0	17.5	15.7	1.87	14.8	16.6	-1.84
Devin Brown	44	44	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.15	-15	-9	-6	18.9	13.9	4.98	16.3	15.7	0.65
Mehmet Okur	49	49	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.13	-19	-5	-14	16.7	15.9	0.76	16.0	16.0	-0.02
Matt Harpring	37	36	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.06	-17	-7	-10	16.7	16.1	0.61	14.8	16.8	-2.03
Deron Williams	58	58	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.12	-22	-2	-20	17.1	15.0	2.10	14.6	18.5	-3.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.15,0.19,0.12,0.15,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 104, DAL 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.21,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
DAL 98, CHA 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
MIA 97, PHI 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%