NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	113		Excitement	9.4 [111]		MVP	Nene (HOU): +45.6%
Oklahoma City Thunder	109		Comeback	8.4 [134]		LVP	Andre Roberson (OKC): -20.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nene	0.46	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.46	0.23	0.23	0.01	12	90%	0.49	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.05
Eric Gordon	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.21,0.23	0.08	0.15	-0.00	13	58%	0.26	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.03
Lou Williams	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.04,0.15,0.11,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.06	0.10	-0.01	13	55%	0.26	2	-0.10	7	100%	0.07
Trevor Ariza	0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.03	0.02	8	74%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Ryan Anderson	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	5	64%	0.09	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
James Harden	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.29,-0.29,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08	-0.16	0.07	-0.01	16	41%	0.10	7	-0.18	7	86%	0.01
Clint Capela	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2	-0.13	-0.08	-0.02	13	23%	-0.16	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.12	0.00	10	75%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.13,0.25,0.29,0.08,0.17	0.17	-0.00	0.14	-0.03	28	51%	0.45	5	-0.28	13	92%	0.06
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.05	0.01	5	100%	0.16	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.02	10	72%	0.13	2	-0.06	5	40%	-0.04
Alex Abrines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	6	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.08	-0.11	0.01	9	43%	-0.11	3	-0.09	12	17%	-0.31

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.0	2.8	30.0	16.4	27.0	2.0	40.0	149.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +3.3%

HOU +40.6%

HOU +2.6%

HOU +5.9%

OKC -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	OKC	NBA	HOU	OKC	NBA
this game	14.3	13.5	14.8	109.7	104.8	107.7
season	13.7	14.0		113.2	107.0
opponent	15.1	14.9		106.7	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.6	14.8	12.8	14.1	14.3
OKC	12.1	13.5	15.3	13.0	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nene	54	56	1.00	-0.50	1.50	0.30	24	-20	44	14.1	14.6	-0.50	13.0	14.0	-0.96
Eric Gordon	77	77	0.86	-0.36	1.21	0.33	18	-14	32	14.1	15.2	-1.08	13.7	13.0	0.70
Trevor Ariza	92	92	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.40	2	2	0	14.3	15.1	-0.83	13.6	12.8	0.73
Lou Williams	66	66	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	-6	16	14.5	14.1	0.33	14.2	12.2	2.00
James Harden	85	86	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.37	0	4	-4	14.0	15.9	-1.93	13.3	14.1	-0.76
Patrick Beverley	59	61	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.23	0	4	-4	14.7	13.9	0.77	13.1	14.0	-0.96
Ryan Anderson	43	42	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.11	-9	13	-22	15.5	13.5	1.92	13.2	13.7	-0.53
Clint Capela	39	40	-0.71	1.21	-1.91	0.03	-25	29	-54	14.2	14.4	-0.19	13.6	13.4	0.15

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug McDermott	42	39	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.04	-1	-3	2	15.0	12.5	2.47	13.6	14.8	-1.26
Russell Westbrook	87	85	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.40	14	-18	32	13.1	15.5	-2.45	14.1	15.7	-1.60
Taj Gibson	49	49	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.10	1	-5	6	12.5	14.3	-1.84	14.9	13.9	1.05
Steven Adams	81	81	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.33	5	-9	14	13.3	14.0	-0.61	14.0	15.5	-1.41
Andre Roberson	82	79	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.29	1	-5	6	13.5	13.3	0.26	14.3	14.6	-0.30
Jerami Grant	31	32	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.19	-3	-1	-2	12.5	13.9	-1.37	14.7	14.2	0.49
Enes Kanter	15	15	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-9	5	-14	14.3	13.3	1.00	16.2	14.0	2.17
Alex Abrines	31	32	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	5	-14	15.1	12.8	2.30	13.6	14.7	-1.14
Norris Cole	17	18	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.01	-18	14	-32	15.5	13.1	2.45	15.7	14.1	1.60
Victor Oladipo	85	85	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.50	-1	-3	2	13.0	15.6	-2.63	14.6	13.2	1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.71,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.88,0.79,0.71,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.77,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.53,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.33,0.38,0.28,0.1,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 101, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.4,0.23,0.11,0.01,0.01,0	91.7%
MIL 94, IND 90	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.82,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.39,0.47,0.11,0.07,0.15,0	91.5%
DET 99, OKC 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.6,0.69,0.77,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.52,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.27,0.38,0.28,0.14,0.04,0	91.5%