NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	101		Excitement	7.5 [291]		MVP	Dahntay Jones (IND): +10.9%
New York Knicks	89		Comeback	3.5 [180]		LVP	Chris Duhon (NYK): -15.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dahntay Jones	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	15	56%	0.15	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Earl Watson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.02	4	90%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.01	11	57%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Roy Hibbert	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	12	56%	0.11	5	-0.11	3	33%	-0.03
Solomon Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	100%	0.08	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	12	43%	0.04	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03
Danny Granger	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	18	48%	0.16	5	-0.21	8	62%	-0.02
Luther Head	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	7	20%	-0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.01	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	13	56%	0.16	5	-0.17	13	85%	0.03
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	13	42%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.02	-0.05	10	32%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
David Lee	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.10	-0.01	17	54%	0.06	3	-0.14	3	67%	-0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	13	38%	-0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	25.6	17.3	25.9	2.5	37.6	134.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +40.5%

IND +1.6%

IND +2.2%

IND +4.0%

IND +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	14.6	14.0	15.3	100.0	89.0	106.0
season	14.2	14.7		102.2	105.9
opponent	15.5	15.1		109.9	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	11.4	16.2	15.0	16.8	14.6
NYK	13.0	15.1	14.4	13.8	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Watson	61	60	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.14	16	-4	20	14.4	15.0	-0.65	14.4	13.5	0.91
Roy Hibbert	59	59	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.17	13	-1	14	15.7	13.1	2.59	13.8	14.3	-0.42
Danny Granger	78	79	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.12	11	1	10	14.6	14.7	-0.02	14.3	12.9	1.47
Brandon Rush	90	90	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.02	13	-1	14	14.2	18.1	-3.88	14.0	14.6	-0.64
Dahntay Jones	80	77	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.19	5	7	-2	15.3	12.0	3.26	13.9	14.5	-0.60
Luther Head	38	38	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	9	-6	13.6	15.3	-1.69	13.7	14.2	-0.50
T.J. Ford	58	57	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	12	-12	15.1	14.0	1.18	13.8	14.4	-0.62
Solomon Jones	41	40	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	13	-14	13.3	15.5	-2.18	14.2	13.9	0.30

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darko Milicic	13	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-12	12	13.0	14.2	-1.17	15.4	14.5	0.84
Danilo Gallinari	60	62	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.15	3	-15	18	13.6	14.6	-0.97	14.8	14.3	0.53
Jared Jeffries	37	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.19	-11	-1	-10	14.3	13.8	0.48	13.4	15.3	-1.89
Toney Douglas	24	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	-6	0	13.3	14.2	-0.90	15.0	14.5	0.49
Chris Duhon	81	81	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-3	-6	14.0	14.1	-0.11	14.2	16.4	-2.26
Wilson Chandler	74	74	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-4	-4	14.3	13.3	0.96	14.0	16.5	-2.52
Larry Hughes	66	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-8	4	13.6	14.8	-1.22	15.1	13.6	1.57
David Lee	74	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.26	-6	-6	0	14.3	13.3	0.91	14.7	14.4	0.34
Al Harrington	71	70	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.19	-19	7	-26	14.5	12.8	1.68	15.4	12.8	2.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.4,0.23,0.11,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 100, OKC 91	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.57,0.53,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.25,0.28,0.15,0.01,0	92.8%
PHI 102, BOS 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.63,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.1,0.04,0.01,0.01,0	92.7%
DET 87, BOS 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.43,0.46,0.41,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.07,0.03,0.08,0	92.3%