NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	102		Excitement	7.0 [423]		MVP	Matt Geiger (PHI): +17.1%
Boston Celtics	97		Comeback	4.7 [296]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -17.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Geiger	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.07	0.00	10	77%	0.21	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.04
Theo Ratliff	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.03	-0.01	8	70%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Tyrone Hill	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	8	45%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Snow	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	2	57%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	10	52%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.02
George Lynch	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	12	58%	0.06	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Toni Kukoc	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	9	36%	-0.12	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.03
Allen Iverson	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.19,-0.14,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.03	16	41%	-0.04	5	-0.13	7	57%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Anderson	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.02	0.02	16	70%	0.16	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.04
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	7	71%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	10	55%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	7	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.02	-0.04	21	37%	-0.02	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	13	53%	-0.03	4	-0.10	8	75%	-0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	7	14%	-0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	30.6	15.6	26.0	1.5	33.5	133.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +25.8%

PHI +18.6%

PHI +0.1%

PHI +3.3%

PHI +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	BOS	NBA	PHI	BOS	NBA
this game	14.6	14.2	15.2	103.0	96.0	101.7
season	15.0	14.7		99.5	102.4
opponent	15.1	15.5		103.3	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.6	13.1	14.3	15.8	14.6
BOS	12.7	14.1	15.1	14.9	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	42	41	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.17	20	-15	35	14.0	15.1	-1.16	14.8	13.7	1.13
Toni Kukoc	59	59	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.17	16	-11	27	14.8	14.3	0.50	15.1	12.8	2.27
Theo Ratliff	64	68	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.29	7	-2	9	14.5	14.9	-0.33	14.2	14.0	0.28
Tyrone Hill	66	68	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.40	-2	7	-9	14.7	14.5	0.29	14.5	13.5	1.00
Allen Iverson	76	79	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.33	-6	11	-17	14.6	14.9	-0.35	14.0	14.8	-0.79
Kevin Ollie	14	14	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.07	7	-2	9	13.6	14.8	-1.25	15.1	14.0	1.06
Matt Geiger	44	43	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	5	-5	14.2	15.0	-0.88	13.7	14.5	-0.88
Eric Snow	71	72	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.32	-12	17	-29	15.1	13.4	1.75	13.3	16.2	-2.92
George Lynch	59	61	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.08	-5	10	-15	15.1	14.0	1.04	13.7	14.9	-1.19

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Fortson	36	36	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-3	1	14.5	14.0	0.53	14.5	14.7	-0.23
Tony Battie	39	38	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.22	6	-11	17	12.7	15.1	-2.35	15.0	14.4	0.53
Eric Williams	27	28	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.01	-4	-1	-3	14.4	14.1	0.29	14.2	14.8	-0.60
Walter McCarty	17	17	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.00	-5	0	-5	13.4	14.3	-0.90	15.8	14.4	1.35
Dana Barros	37	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-3	1	13.3	14.7	-1.40	15.2	14.3	0.95
Calbert Cheaney	63	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.12	-4	-1	-3	14.6	13.4	1.22	14.6	14.8	-0.23
Paul Pierce	92	88	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.48	6	-11	17	13.7	18.3	-4.58	14.9	12.6	2.26
Adrian Griffin	15	16	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	6	-17	16.7	13.7	3.02	15.2	14.5	0.72
Kenny Anderson	69	68	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.35	0	-5	5	14.1	14.2	-0.13	14.1	15.8	-1.69
Antoine Walker	84	82	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.36	0	-5	5	14.3	13.4	0.90	14.4	15.8	-1.35
Vitaly Potapenko	26	25	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.14	-9	4	-13	15.8	13.6	2.27	14.4	14.7	-0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.63,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.1,0.04,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 100, CHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.74,0.74,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.75,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.14,0.03,0,0,0	92.9%
GSW 99, MIN 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.32,0.19,0.14,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	92.9%
NYK 101, BOS 86	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.77,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.34,0.29,0.17,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.7%