NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	100		Excitement	6.6 [384]		MVP	Wesley Matthews (POR): +16.7%
Chicago Bulls	89		Comeback	3.4 [88]		LVP	CJ Watson (CHI): -18.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.09	0.01	11	72%	0.23	2	-0.07	3	67%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.07	-0.00	18	54%	0.15	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Craig Smith	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	2	100%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Nicolas Batum	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	-0.01	11	68%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nolan Smith	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	7	86%	0.19	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.05	0.00	11	64%	0.08	1	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	12	32%	-0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Joel Przybilla	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	4	25%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.00	0.02	14	69%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.04	-0.02	18	46%	0.00	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	12	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	-0.03	11	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	5	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	12	42%	-0.01	5	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.7	26.3	16.3	27.4	1.7	31.3	129.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +58.5%

POR +0.8%

CHI -10.0%

CHI -8.9%

POR +9.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	CHI	NBA	POR	CHI	NBA
this game	18.3	17.1	15.6	123.5	108.5	102.8
season	15.7	16.0		104.1	104.7
opponent	15.9	15.4		97.0	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	18.9	17.8	17.9	18.4	18.3
CHI	16.2	16.5	18.1	17.6	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Craig Smith	17	17	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.18	8	3	5	18.8	18.1	0.71	16.8	17.2	-0.33
Jamal Crawford	41	40	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.04	11	0	11	18.4	18.1	0.22	16.6	17.6	-1.00
Kurt Thomas	27	31	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.07	10	1	9	15.9	19.4	-3.56	17.4	16.9	0.43
Nicolas Batum	57	58	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.10	6	5	1	17.6	19.7	-2.12	16.9	17.5	-0.53
Wesley Matthews	56	57	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.07	7	4	3	18.2	18.4	-0.26	17.0	17.2	-0.16
Raymond Felton	53	52	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	6	-1	17.8	19.0	-1.19	17.4	16.5	0.92
Luke Babbitt	20	20	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.10	5	6	-1	19.9	17.7	2.18	17.7	16.9	0.88
Nolan Smith	28	30	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	5	1	19.0	17.8	1.19	16.5	17.4	-0.92
LaMarcus Aldridge	64	65	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.00	3	8	-5	18.1	18.8	-0.71	17.2	16.8	0.33
Joel Przybilla	42	40	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.15	-6	17	-23	19.9	16.5	3.32	17.3	16.8	0.52

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Brewer	41	41	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-10	9	17.7	16.4	1.29	18.0	18.5	-0.52
Taj Gibson	24	24	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-6	1	17.5	16.9	0.53	18.9	18.0	0.93
CJ Watson	50	49	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	-4	-3	16.9	17.4	-0.53	18.0	18.7	-0.66
Joakim Noah	66	66	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.15	-3	-8	5	17.2	16.5	0.73	17.8	20.3	-2.55
Carlos Boozer	52	50	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	-9	7	17.4	16.6	0.77	18.0	18.7	-0.73
Omer Asik	16	15	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.03	-8	-3	-5	16.5	17.2	-0.73	20.3	17.8	2.55
Kyle Korver	31	30	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-6	1	17.6	16.8	0.85	18.7	18.0	0.70
John Lucas III	37	37	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-5	-1	16.8	17.3	-0.55	18.3	18.2	0.02
Jimmy Butler	26	26	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-4	-3	15.1	18.0	-2.88	18.7	18.1	0.64
Luol Deng	67	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	0	-11	17.2	16.7	0.51	18.2	18.5	-0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.74,0.74,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.75,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.14,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 102, MIL 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.5,0.57,0.38,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.03,0,0,0	92.9%
PHI 102, BOS 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.63,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.1,0.04,0.01,0.01,0	92.9%
IND 94, MIL 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.43,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.03,0,0	92.9%