NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	94		Excitement	6.9 [440]		MVP	CJ Miles (IND): +24.4%
Milwaukee Bucks	91		Comeback	2.5 [373]		LVP	David West (IND): -14.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.15	0.10	0.00	14	76%	0.27	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Luis Scola	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.00	9	70%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.06
Roy Hibbert	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	11	64%	0.11	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.04
Donald Sloan	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	11	45%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	9	48%	0.01	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Lavoy Allen	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	9	33%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Copeland	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	7	35%	-0.06	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
David West	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	8	37%	-0.03	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.03	0.02	6	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.01	9	64%	0.14	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.05
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.01	0.02	10	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Khris Middleton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	10	55%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.05	-0.01	19	53%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	12	46%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Johnny O'Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	9	33%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	8	33%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.3	24.6	15.6	23.2	2.7	40.3	130.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +35.5%

IND +1.1%

IND +13.0%

MIL -2.4%

IND +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIL	NBA	IND	MIL	NBA
this game	16.7	13.9	15.1	100.0	96.8	104.2
season	16.0	14.5		102.3	100.5
opponent	15.7	15.0		101.0	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.2	16.3	16.9	16.5	16.7
MIL	13.5	13.7	15.1	13.5	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donald Sloan	62	61	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.43	3	0	3	17.9	14.4	3.51	14.7	12.5	2.25
CJ Miles	65	68	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.40	0	3	-3	16.0	18.4	-2.49	13.1	16.2	-3.10
Chris Copeland	29	28	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	0	3	17.4	16.4	1.00	14.5	13.7	0.83
Luis Scola	33	35	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.20	4	-1	5	18.0	16.0	1.97	13.5	14.2	-0.73
Lavoy Allen	44	43	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	0	3	17.4	16.2	1.20	14.0	13.8	0.16
Solomon Hill	70	70	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.20	1	2	-1	16.7	16.8	-0.15	13.9	14.0	-0.17
David West	61	60	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.14	2	1	1	16.0	18.0	-1.97	14.0	13.7	0.37
Roy Hibbert	48	48	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.15	1	2	-1	16.8	16.7	0.10	14.5	13.3	1.11
Rodney Stuckey	58	57	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	5	-7	15.5	18.7	-3.24	13.5	14.6	-1.12

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khris Middleton	63	61	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.10	2	-5	7	13.5	14.7	-1.14	16.7	16.8	-0.15
Zaza Pachulia	49	50	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.35	10	-13	23	14.0	13.8	0.22	16.6	16.9	-0.26
Brandon Knight	66	65	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.21	4	-7	11	13.5	15.0	-1.55	16.6	17.1	-0.50
Johnny O'Bryant	25	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.02	-6	3	-9	15.8	13.2	2.57	17.8	16.3	1.52
Giannis Antetokounmpo	62	62	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.11	-2	-1	-1	14.4	13.0	1.39	17.6	15.0	2.61
Jerryd Bayless	43	44	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.30	2	-5	7	14.5	13.4	1.06	16.5	16.9	-0.33
Jared Dudley	47	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	0	-3	12.9	15.0	-2.09	15.3	18.1	-2.85
Kendall Marshall	23	23	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.18	-5	2	-7	15.0	13.5	1.49	17.9	16.3	1.58
John Henson	44	44	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.15	-10	7	-17	14.0	13.9	0.12	16.9	16.6	0.26
O.J. Mayo	48	49	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.46	-7	4	-11	13.2	14.6	-1.36	16.3	17.2	-0.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.43,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 99, NYK 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.57,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.05,0.04,0	94.0%
NYK 100, TOR 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.47,0.53,0.37,0.41,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.04,0.08,0	93.6%
LAL 104, DEN 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.32,0.47,0.24,0.13,0.31,0.22,0.02,0,0	93.3%