NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	99		Excitement	7.3 [366]		MVP	Anthony Johnson (NJN): +14.5%
New York Knicks	94		Comeback	4.4 [262]		LVP	Brian Scalabrine (NJN): -19.1%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Johnson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.03	0.11	-0.00	10	57%	0.15	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Brandon Armstrong	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.02	0.10	-0.03	11	54%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Aaron Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	4	80%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jason Collins	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	9	50%	0.05	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Richard Jefferson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	8	40%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Kenyon Martin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	76%	0.05	1	-0.04	7	57%	-0.03
Keith Van Horn	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	62%	0.08	3	-0.09	5	80%	-0.00
Donny Marshall	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	10	30%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	10	55%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.14	-0.06	-0.01	5	14%	-0.12	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.01	10	55%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.06,-0.08,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	26	57%	0.16	5	-0.15	4	100%	0.04
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	90%	0.12	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	16	56%	0.08	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.03
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	12	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	11	36%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.3	25.6	16.4	26.3	2.5	26.6	121.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +13.7%

NJN +10.2%

NYK -17.8%

NJN +39.6%

NJN +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	NYK	NBA	NJN	NYK	NBA
this game	14.6	15.6	15.6	104.2	97.9	102.3
season	14.7	15.9		101.4	99.6
opponent	15.6	16.0		103.9	98.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	11.5	18.6	13.7	15.2	14.6
NYK	17.8	15.7	15.1	13.6	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	42	42	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.41	8	-3	11	14.7	14.5	0.25	14.4	16.4	-2.00
Brian Scalabrine	46	46	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.45	4	1	3	16.7	12.6	4.15	14.6	16.5	-1.89
Jason Collins	54	55	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.48	1	4	-3	16.5	12.1	4.36	15.0	16.3	-1.25
Anthony Johnson	49	50	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.45	2	3	-1	16.8	12.3	4.45	14.8	16.3	-1.49
Brandon Armstrong	40	41	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	1	3	16.7	13.0	3.71	15.0	16.0	-0.96
Keith Van Horn	43	44	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.14	6	-1	7	12.4	16.4	-4.07	16.6	14.7	1.88
Jason Kidd	46	46	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.09	3	2	1	12.3	16.8	-4.45	16.3	14.8	1.49
Aaron Williams	41	41	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.13	4	1	3	12.1	16.5	-4.36	16.3	15.0	1.25
Donny Marshall	22	21	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.22	-9	14	-23	19.0	13.3	5.67	14.1	16.0	-1.86
Kerry Kittles	49	50	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.09	1	4	-3	12.6	16.7	-4.15	16.5	14.6	1.89
Kenyon Martin	43	44	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.10	1	4	-3	12.5	16.4	-3.90	16.8	14.5	2.34

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Latrell Sprewell	66	66	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.16	8	-13	21	15.6	15.4	0.22	14.6	14.6	-0.03
Mark Jackson	50	49	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.09	-1	-4	3	16.5	14.6	1.89	12.6	16.7	-4.15
Clar. Weatherspoon	79	78	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.22	1	-6	7	15.8	14.5	1.31	14.4	15.6	-1.20
Allan Houston	79	80	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-4	3	15.5	15.8	-0.33	14.4	15.5	-1.03
Howard Eisley	13	13	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.27	-1	-4	3	14.3	15.7	-1.44	16.9	14.2	2.69
Kurt Thomas	82	81	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.33	0	-5	5	15.5	15.7	-0.19	14.1	17.2	-3.07
Othella Harrington	31	31	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	6	-17	15.0	15.8	-0.77	16.3	13.8	2.56
Charlie Ward	36	35	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.25	-8	3	-11	14.9	15.9	-1.02	16.3	13.6	2.76
Shandon Anderson	44	42	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.22	-12	7	-19	15.4	15.7	-0.26	15.1	14.2	0.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.57,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.05,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 94, MIL 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.43,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.03,0,0	94.0%
SAS 99, POR 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.11,0.08,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.09,0.08,0	93.1%
POR 100, MEM 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.38,0.3,0.42,0.36,0.2,0.13,0.25,0.11,0.09,0.02,0	92.8%