NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	100		Excitement	7.1 [433]		MVP	CJ McCollum (POR): +47.0%
Memphis Grizzlies	94		Comeback	3.6 [472]		LVP	Chandler Parsons (MEM): -20.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0.47	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47	0.24	0.24	0.02	23	71%	0.51	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.03
Maurice Harkless	0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.05	0.12	-0.00	15	60%	0.21	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	11	58%	0.15	3	-0.10	11	100%	0.06
Allen Crabbe	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Noah Vonleh	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	3	58%	0.02	3	-0.08	6	50%	-0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	10	36%	-0.06	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	11	62%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	11	59%	0.08	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.04
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.02	5	79%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.05	0.01	10	50%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	14	58%	0.06	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.00
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	6	36%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.04
Jarell Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	37%	-0.01	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
James Ennis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0,0,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	8	44%	-0.02	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.17	-0.06	-0.02	8	0%	-0.17	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.3	35.6	15.7	27.3	2.6	30.2	142.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +68.8%

POR +4.4%

MEM -16.6%

MEM -2.3%

MEM -4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MEM	NBA	POR	MEM	NBA
this game	14.5	15.9	14.8	105.3	100.0	107.7
season	14.9	16.1		108.6	106.4
opponent	14.9	14.5		106.7	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.3	13.9	15.3	16.0	14.5
MEM	16.0	13.2	18.3	16.8	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Harkless	66	65	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.21	17	-11	28	15.0	13.5	1.48	16.8	14.0	2.80
CJ McCollum	79	76	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.29	9	-3	12	14.7	13.8	0.88	16.1	15.4	0.61
Mason Plumlee	47	48	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.08	9	-3	12	14.4	14.7	-0.24	15.7	16.1	-0.38
Ed Davis	23	24	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.20	3	3	0	14.5	14.6	-0.03	18.9	14.9	3.95
Damian Lillard	65	66	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	3	0	14.2	15.3	-1.10	15.5	17.1	-1.62
Evan Turner	44	44	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.23	-1	7	-8	14.6	14.5	0.17	16.5	15.5	0.97
Al-Farouq Aminu	66	67	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	4	-2	14.3	15.1	-0.80	15.5	17.1	-1.65
Allen Crabbe	54	53	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.25	-4	10	-14	14.3	14.9	-0.54	15.7	16.3	-0.63
Meyers Leonard	24	21	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	9	-12	15.4	14.3	1.11	13.6	16.6	-2.98
Noah Vonleh	7	6	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	11	-16	13.4	14.6	-1.21	12.2	16.2	-4.03

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarell Martin	14	15	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.01	3	-9	12	14.8	16.1	-1.35	13.6	14.7	-1.13
Mike Conley	61	62	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.21	4	-10	14	15.1	17.4	-2.29	14.6	14.5	0.10
Zach Randolph	39	37	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.32	7	-13	20	16.6	15.5	1.12	15.4	14.0	1.45
JaMychal Green	65	69	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.13	-2	-4	2	15.4	17.1	-1.64	14.1	15.6	-1.47
Tony Allen	44	42	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	1	-8	15.9	15.9	-0.01	14.4	14.6	-0.21
Marc Gasol	55	55	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-9	3	-12	15.5	16.6	-1.12	14.4	14.7	-0.31
Chandler Parsons	44	42	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.03	-11	5	-16	16.8	15.2	1.66	14.2	14.8	-0.60
Vince Carter	50	52	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.26	-5	-1	-4	16.0	15.8	0.18	14.5	14.6	-0.10
Andrew Harrison	33	33	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.11	-10	4	-14	17.4	15.1	2.29	14.5	14.6	-0.10
James Ennis	65	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.47	0	-6	6	16.0	15.7	0.31	15.1	13.1	1.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.38,0.3,0.42,0.36,0.2,0.13,0.25,0.11,0.09,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 103, UTA 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.47,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.43,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.1,0.19,0.15,0.04,0.01,0	93.9%
NJN 99, NYK 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.57,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.05,0.04,0	92.8%
OKC 111, SAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.11,0.09,0,0	92.5%