NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	103		Excitement	6.8 [471]		MVP	Andrew Nicholson (ORL): +17.8%
Utah Jazz	94		Comeback	2.6 [268]		LVP	Trey Burke (UTA): -12.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Nicholson	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.08	0.10	-0.00	10	70%	0.23	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.07	0.01	9	70%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	16	50%	0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shabazz Napier	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	13	53%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Aaron Gordon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.03	0.01	14	47%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jason Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	13	48%	0.01	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.03	0.02	12	66%	0.14	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.01
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.06	-0.00	7	60%	0.13	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Jeff Withey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	57%	0.05	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.05	0.05	13	73%	0.13	6	-0.16	7	86%	0.03
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	8	19%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.08	-0.02	15	43%	-0.02	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.8	28.7	12.7	25.5	2.4	37.5	133.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +23.2%

UTA -11.8%

ORL +14.0%

ORL +24.0%

ORL +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	UTA	NBA	ORL	UTA	NBA
this game	14.6	15.1	14.9	105.1	97.9	105.1
season	14.6	16.3		103.6	104.6
opponent	15.0	14.9		102.8	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.5	16.0	13.5	14.3	14.6
UTA	15.5	15.3	15.3	14.5	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Fournier	58	61	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.10	16	-7	23	14.4	14.8	-0.46	15.1	15.2	-0.04
Elfrid Payton	68	68	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.11	13	-4	17	13.8	16.2	-2.38	14.9	15.7	-0.80
Andrew Nicholson	46	44	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.32	3	6	-3	16.3	13.0	3.26	15.3	15.0	0.28
Tobias Harris	81	80	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.16	7	2	5	14.6	14.3	0.31	15.2	14.7	0.55
Jason Smith	30	29	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.24	2	7	-5	16.4	13.7	2.71	16.1	14.7	1.42
Nikola Vucevic	68	67	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.00	7	2	5	13.7	16.4	-2.71	14.7	16.1	-1.42
Victor Oladipo	53	48	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	9	-9	14.0	15.2	-1.24	14.2	16.1	-1.92
Aaron Gordon	14	14	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	9	-9	14.6	14.5	0.02	14.3	15.3	-1.01
Shabazz Napier	30	28	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	13	-17	16.2	13.8	2.38	15.7	14.9	0.80
Channing Frye	38	38	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.08	3	6	-3	13.7	15.1	-1.46	16.0	14.6	1.41
Mario Hezonja	4	3	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	11	-13	12.2	14.6	-2.40	19.3	15.0	4.32

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trey Lyles	21	19	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-10	11	15.0	15.2	-0.19	16.2	14.2	1.99
Jeff Withey	18	19	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-12	15	13.7	15.5	-1.82	17.5	13.8	3.63
Joe Ingles	42	44	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.15	3	-12	15	14.1	16.0	-1.91	14.5	14.6	-0.18
Raul Neto	24	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.16	-8	-1	-7	17.2	14.5	2.69	13.2	15.0	-1.80
Trevor Booker	30	31	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	-2	-5	17.1	14.3	2.84	13.7	14.9	-1.18
Chris Johnson	15	15	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-6	3	17.3	14.8	2.51	14.3	14.6	-0.34
Alec Burks	59	60	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.18	-3	-6	3	14.4	16.3	-1.87	14.6	14.4	0.21
Rodney Hood	47	51	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.01	-9	0	-9	16.2	14.2	2.01	14.7	14.4	0.24
Trey Burke	66	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.32	0	-9	9	14.3	17.0	-2.70	15.3	12.7	2.59
Gordon Hayward	80	80	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.21	-10	1	-11	14.6	17.7	-3.05	14.2	16.2	-1.98
Derrick Favors	78	79	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.17	-12	3	-15	15.5	13.7	1.82	13.8	17.5	-3.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.47,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.43,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.1,0.19,0.15,0.04,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 100, MEM 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.38,0.3,0.42,0.36,0.2,0.13,0.25,0.11,0.09,0.02,0	93.9%
ORL 111, NYK 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.57,0.29,0.19,0.14,0.24,0.17,0.05,0.07,0.07,0,0	92.8%
OKC 111, SAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.11,0.09,0,0	92.8%