NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	100		Excitement	7.5 [294]		MVP	Aaron Brooks (HOU): +30.6%
Oklahoma City Thunder	91		Comeback	3.6 [218]		LVP	Kyle Lowry (HOU): -15.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Brooks	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.28,0.36,0.3,0.31	0.11	0.21	0.02	15	66%	0.33	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
David Andersen	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	12	48%	0.03	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	64%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Brian Cook	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine Taylor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	8	39%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Shane Battier	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	0.00	-0.03	0.02	7	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Carl Landry	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06	-0.05	0.01	0.02	18	52%	0.11	5	-0.17	4	75%	0.05
Trevor Ariza	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.03	-0.02	23	35%	-0.09	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Kyle Lowry	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.03	-0.09	0.03	3	60%	-0.01	3	-0.15	4	100%	0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DJ White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.05	0.00	3	100%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.08	-0.00	19	58%	0.21	6	-0.14	5	100%	0.05
Jeff Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	14	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.01,0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	16	54%	0.12	4	-0.16	5	80%	0.01
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	42%	-0.02	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	-0.11	0.02	-0.09	0.03	6	50%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.03	7	37%	0.04	4	-0.15	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.3	2.6	27.2	15.7	24.6	2.0	34.3	137.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +1.1%

OKC -6.6%

HOU +43.7%

HOU +15.2%

OKC -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	OKC	NBA	HOU	OKC	NBA
this game	17.2	13.8	15.3	107.5	97.8	106.0
season	15.0	15.0		106.0	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.1		103.1	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.2	18.3	18.3	16.2	17.2
OKC	12.1	13.6	14.5	15.1	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carl Landry	57	59	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.22	14	-5	19	16.8	17.9	-1.05	14.1	13.1	0.95
Trevor Ariza	81	81	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.20	10	-1	11	16.5	21.9	-5.40	13.5	15.4	-1.91
David Andersen	55	53	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.36	4	5	-1	17.7	16.5	1.21	14.3	13.1	1.19
Shane Battier	67	67	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.19	4	5	-1	17.5	16.6	0.89	13.7	13.9	-0.24
Kyle Lowry	35	36	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.09	13	-4	17	17.6	17.0	0.62	13.9	13.6	0.27
Aaron Brooks	65	65	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.18	1	8	-7	16.2	19.5	-3.32	13.3	14.8	-1.48
Chase Budinger	40	39	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.14	0	9	-9	18.1	16.5	1.55	14.1	13.5	0.65
Charles Hayes	53	52	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.05	2	7	-5	17.2	17.2	-0.06	13.3	14.3	-0.97
Brian Cook	3	4	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	10	-11	15.7	17.3	-1.60	11.5	13.9	-2.35
Jermaine Taylor	8	8	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	9	-9	23.6	16.6	7.01	15.2	13.6	1.64
Luis Scola	1	1	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.04	-2	11	-13	24.0	17.1	6.86	18.0	13.7	4.29

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DJ White	8	8	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.02	5	-14	19	12.7	13.8	-1.10	10.7	17.8	-7.07
Etan Thomas	36	33	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.01	2	-11	13	12.9	14.3	-1.41	17.8	16.9	0.93
Jeff Green	79	80	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-7	5	13.1	17.2	-4.08	16.9	19.0	-2.07
Mike Wilks	25	25	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-2	-5	14.0	13.6	0.39	19.8	16.2	3.59
Russell Westbrook	77	77	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-5	1	13.8	13.4	0.46	17.1	17.7	-0.65
Thabo Sefolosha	77	75	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-5	1	13.5	15.0	-1.51	17.0	18.2	-1.18
James Harden	35	36	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	3	-15	14.8	13.1	1.63	18.2	16.6	1.60
Kevin Durant	88	88	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.24	-9	0	-9	13.7	13.8	-0.05	16.8	24.8	-8.02
Serge Ibaka	40	43	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.27	-14	5	-19	15.2	12.6	2.58	17.6	16.9	0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.57,0.53,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.25,0.28,0.15,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 101, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.4,0.23,0.11,0.01,0.01,0	92.8%
SAS 97, DAL 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.28,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.28,0.22,0.16,0	92.8%
DEN 106, SAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.31,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.09,0.07,0	92.5%