NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	85		Excitement	9.8 [76]		MVP	Serge Ibaka (OKC): +15.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder	84		Comeback	5.3 [141]		LVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): -77.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.03	0.10	0.00	5	57%	0.13	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Salah Mejri	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	7	67%	0.11	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Deron Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.03	0.04	9	72%	0.06	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	6	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	16	54%	0.13	4	-0.20	7	57%	-0.18
Dwight Powell	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Wesley Matthews	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.16	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	11	27%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.20	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.2,-0.2	-0.05	-0.19	-0.04	19	42%	-0.14	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	-0.00	7	75%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.06	0.01	6	64%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.01	8	47%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	70%	0.08	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Nick Collison	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.33,-0.58	-0.58	-0.12	-0.46	-0.00	22	40%	-0.35	4	-0.23	4	50%	-0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.24,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.24,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.28,-0.28,-0.27,-0.32,-0.36,-0.36,-0.3,-0.3,-0.34,-0.39,-0.37,-0.45,-0.56,-0.78	-0.78	-0.32	-0.47	-0.02	33	30%	-0.53	7	-0.24	5	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.7	31.3	17.4	28.4	3.4	38.4	148.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +81.6%

OKC -31.0%

OKC -13.1%

DAL +13.7%

OKC -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	OKC	NBA	DAL	OKC	NBA
this game	17.5	13.8	14.9	92.4	91.3	105.1
season	15.5	14.4		105.0	111.5
opponent	15.1	14.7		104.4	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	18.3	18.6	17.0	16.0	17.5
OKC	13.6	12.7	13.0	16.0	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Harris	47	51	1.10	-0.60	1.70	0.60	17	-16	33	16.4	18.6	-2.28	14.3	13.2	1.09
Salah Mejri	53	55	0.91	-0.41	1.33	0.41	17	-16	33	16.7	18.5	-1.84	14.6	12.7	1.88
Raymond Felton	80	79	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.49	3	-2	5	17.7	16.2	1.51	14.2	11.3	2.93
Dirk Nowitzki	72	72	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.45	2	-1	3	17.1	18.8	-1.69	13.8	13.8	-0.03
Wesley Matthews	70	69	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.41	-1	2	-3	17.1	18.5	-1.40	13.8	14.0	-0.17
Dwight Powell	20	20	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	2	-3	18.8	17.1	1.69	13.8	13.8	0.03
Justin Anderson	28	29	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.05	-7	8	-15	17.6	17.4	0.13	12.9	14.3	-1.41
Deron Williams	51	49	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.00	-9	10	-19	18.6	16.1	2.53	13.1	14.7	-1.55
Zaza Pachulia	39	36	-0.55	1.05	-1.60	-0.08	-16	17	-33	18.5	16.7	1.84	12.9	14.4	-1.49

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Roberson	30	31	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.14	1	-2	3	13.9	13.8	0.06	17.9	17.2	0.69
Enes Kanter	40	37	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.11	-4	3	-7	12.6	14.7	-2.08	17.1	17.8	-0.71
Randy Foye	21	19	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-1	1	13.1	14.0	-0.95	18.3	17.3	0.99
Nick Collison	14	13	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	1	-3	13.4	13.9	-0.55	19.5	17.2	2.31
Kyle Singler	11	10	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	3	-7	13.2	13.9	-0.73	17.0	17.5	-0.54
Serge Ibaka	61	64	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.31	5	-6	11	13.9	13.6	0.32	17.1	18.3	-1.21
Anthony Morrow	21	20	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-2	3	14.0	13.8	0.29	18.8	17.1	1.75
Russell Westbrook	72	74	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.47	5	-6	11	13.8	13.8	-0.03	17.1	18.8	-1.68
Kevin Durant	84	84	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.44	-1	0	-1	13.8	14.0	-0.19	17.7	14.9	2.85
Dion Waiters	51	50	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.43	-6	5	-11	14.2	13.3	0.87	16.7	18.4	-1.62
Steven Adams	55	58	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.62	0	-1	1	14.7	12.6	2.06	17.5	17.4	0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.37,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.74,0.84,0.66,0.47,0.63,0.57,0.53,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 116, CLE 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.63,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.42,0	90.8%
BOS 88, ATL 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.59,0.67,0.52,0.62,0.54,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.69,0.65,0.46,0.33,0.63,0.59,0.42,0	90.8%
WAS 105, MIA 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.61,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.61,0.53,0.72,0.57,0.08,0	90.7%