NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	88		Excitement	9.5 [95]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (BOS): +37.8%
Atlanta Hawks	85		Comeback	3.8 [408]		LVP	Al Horford (ATL): -11.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.38	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.18,0.38	0.02	0.35	-0.00	15	51%	0.41	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.07	0.01	6	53%	0.10	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Paul Pierce	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,0.05,0.05	-0.04	0.09	-0.01	17	46%	0.11	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Eddie House	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.05	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Glen Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.01	15	46%	0.01	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Rajon Rondo	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	-0.01	-0.09	0.00	12	58%	0.01	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.04

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	4	75%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.09	0.05	-0.04	16	41%	0.09	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	12	52%	0.09	2	-0.09	7	57%	-0.08
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.24,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.07	-0.00	16	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	87%	-0.09
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	37%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	44%	0.00	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Josh Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	13	42%	0.03	3	-0.08	7	71%	-0.04
Al Horford	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	10	36%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	3.4	34.3	17.8	30.2	2.6	40.0	153.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +63.3%

ATL -8.5%

ATL -6.3%

BOS +2.8%

ATL -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ATL	NBA	BOS	ATL	NBA
this game	15.3	18.2	15.5	101.1	100.0	106.4
season	15.8	15.8		108.3	106.7
opponent	16.1	15.6		106.0	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.7	15.7	18.6	14.4	15.3
ATL	21.6	14.3	18.4	19.0	18.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	64	65	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.47	14	-11	25	15.5	14.8	0.64	18.8	16.4	2.38
Rajon Rondo	64	65	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.51	9	-6	15	15.3	15.3	-0.07	18.7	16.5	2.19
Paul Pierce	71	70	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.43	11	-8	19	15.3	15.3	-0.02	18.5	16.9	1.65
Ray Allen	77	76	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.43	4	-1	5	15.3	15.1	0.22	18.5	15.9	2.61
Kendrick Perkins	63	62	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.45	-1	4	-5	15.6	14.6	0.99	18.6	17.2	1.44
Glen Davis	27	24	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.02	-6	9	-15	14.6	15.6	-0.97	17.7	18.4	-0.72
Leon Powe	20	18	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.07	-3	6	-9	14.8	15.4	-0.65	16.6	18.7	-2.12
Eddie House	23	21	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.15	-4	7	-11	15.3	15.3	0.07	15.8	19.0	-3.27
Tony Allen	26	24	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.04	-9	12	-21	15.2	15.3	-0.10	16.5	18.9	-2.40

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	25	28	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.05	5	-8	13	17.1	18.7	-1.62	14.6	15.6	-1.02
Ronald Murray	21	23	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.07	0	-3	3	17.9	18.3	-0.49	13.3	16.0	-2.77
Maurice Evans	27	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.02	-7	4	-11	17.1	18.7	-1.58	14.0	15.9	-1.88
Joe Johnson	70	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.47	2	-5	7	18.7	15.8	2.94	15.6	13.8	1.81
Marvin Williams	69	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.42	0	-3	3	18.1	18.6	-0.49	15.5	14.3	1.25
Al Horford	73	73	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.48	-1	-2	1	18.2	18.2	-0.03	15.7	13.1	2.65
Mike Bibby	68	67	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.44	-4	1	-5	18.3	17.8	0.50	16.0	13.1	2.86
Josh Smith	72	73	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.39	-10	7	-17	18.6	16.0	2.63	15.1	16.1	-1.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.59,0.67,0.52,0.62,0.54,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.69,0.65,0.46,0.33,0.63,0.59,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 95, POR 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.28,0	91.1%
DAL 85, OKC 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.37,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.74,0.84,0.66,0.47,0.63,0.57,0.53,0	90.8%
SAC 84, VAN 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.78,0.42,0	90.7%