NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	96		Excitement	9.0 [149]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +57.7%
Houston Rockets	97		Comeback	2.8 [513]		LVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): -45.4%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ian Clark	0.40	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,-0.02,0.11,0.4	0.05	0.35	-0.00	7	69%	0.42	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marreese Speights	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.16	-0.00	0.01	11	79%	0.17	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.08	0.00	5	58%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Harrison Barnes	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
James Michael McAdoo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Bogut	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	13	53%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Festus Ezeli	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	1	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.38	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.25,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.38	-0.18	-0.22	-0.02	9	37%	-0.02	7	-0.35	6	50%	-0.01
Klay Thompson	-0.45	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.45	-0.08	-0.36	0.01	20	38%	-0.42	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.58	0.58	0.06	0.51	-0.01	26	56%	0.66	4	-0.09	11	82%	0.02
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.26	0.26	0.02	0.23	-0.02	10	55%	0.28	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.09
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	11	58%	0.09	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Corey Brewer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	9	54%	-0.00	2	-0.04	6	17%	-0.10
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	10	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	12	42%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.24,-0.41	-0.41	-0.12	-0.30	-0.02	12	29%	-0.19	3	-0.21	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.7	3.0	32.2	18.4	25.4	3.5	43.3	156.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +37.6%

HOU +6.5%

HOU +5.1%

GSW -0.9%

HOU +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	HOU	NBA	GSW	HOU	NBA
this game	14.0	15.3	14.9	98.0	98.0	105.1
season	13.7	14.0		112.3	105.9
opponent	15.1	15.1		106.9	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.7	14.2	13.7	13.1	14.0
HOU	13.0	14.6	17.6	16.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Michael McAdoo	17	15	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.11	-2	1	-3	14.2	13.9	0.32	14.2	15.5	-1.25
Marreese Speights	37	39	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.45	17	-18	35	12.8	14.7	-1.95	16.3	14.6	1.64
Ian Clark	45	43	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.27	10	-11	21	12.9	14.9	-2.04	16.5	14.3	2.25
Harrison Barnes	46	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.09	-7	6	-13	15.7	12.4	3.25	15.4	15.1	0.32
Festus Ezeli	9	9	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.10	-8	7	-15	18.2	13.5	4.68	10.2	15.8	-5.54
Shaun Livingston	60	61	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.30	5	-6	11	14.4	13.2	1.24	15.5	14.9	0.64
Leandro Barbosa	20	20	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	4	-9	14.1	13.9	0.23	15.3	15.3	0.05
Andre Iguodala	66	67	-0.29	-0.20	-0.09	-0.59	10	-11	21	14.0	13.9	0.09	15.4	15.1	0.30
Andrew Bogut	28	30	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.10	-11	10	-21	14.0	14.0	0.04	16.2	14.9	1.30
Draymond Green	78	79	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.45	-7	6	-13	13.5	15.6	-2.11	14.6	17.7	-3.12
Klay Thompson	84	86	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.48	-7	6	-13	13.6	16.1	-2.45	14.8	18.3	-3.51

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	88	87	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.50	7	-6	13	14.9	18.1	-3.18	13.6	17.3	-3.72
James Harden	92	90	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.40	5	-4	9	15.2	16.6	-1.41	13.7	17.2	-3.57
Patrick Beverley	66	67	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.37	5	-4	9	15.7	14.5	1.17	14.5	12.8	1.70
Dwight Howard	69	68	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.27	6	-5	11	15.7	14.2	1.52	13.9	14.1	-0.14
Donatas Motiejunas	61	62	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	-2	5	16.2	13.8	2.39	14.0	13.9	0.17
Michael Beasley	42	41	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.45	-10	11	-21	15.0	15.5	-0.46	14.3	13.7	0.60
Josh Smith	13	12	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.05	4	-3	7	10.5	16.0	-5.53	14.2	13.9	0.22
Corey Brewer	6	7	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.02	-1	2	-3	17.5	15.1	2.38	16.6	13.8	2.80
Clint Capela	11	10	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	2	-3	13.7	15.5	-1.73	15.5	13.8	1.70
Jason Terry	47	46	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.15	-13	14	-27	15.3	15.2	0.15	13.4	14.4	-1.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.86,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.58,0.7,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.79,0.55,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 92, SAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.92,0.79,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.77,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.58,1	91.8%
DAL 95, MIL 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.8,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.9,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.8,0.75,0.71,0.43,0.58,1	90.5%
TOR 88, NYK 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.85,0.78,0.66,0.76,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.67,0.59,1	90.2%