NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	92		Excitement	8.8 [154]		MVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): +61.3%
San Antonio Spurs	94		Comeback	2.5 [580]		LVP	Tony Parker (SAS): -30.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Schroder	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.08	0.00	6	75%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.05	0.01	7	86%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0.10	0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.05	0.01	13	65%	0.18	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.05	0.00	18	46%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	67%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Pero Antic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.06	0.00	7	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Al Horford	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,0.05,-0.07	-0.08	0.02	0.01	14	36%	-0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Jeff Teague	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.1	-0.16	0.04	-0.02	8	28%	0.04	5	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	-0.26	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.26	-0.05	-0.21	-0.00	10	35%	-0.24	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.33,0.61	0.61	0.02	0.56	-0.03	7	57%	0.64	2	-0.03	7	100%	0.21
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	6	67%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Danny Green	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.02	7	62%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	10	55%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	83%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	10	44%	-0.06	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.03
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13	-0.13	0.01	-0.13	0.01	12	47%	-0.13	0	0.00	12	58%	-0.12
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.3	-0.30	-0.07	-0.23	0.00	12	59%	0.06	7	-0.36	5	60%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.4	32.3	15.7	24.3	1.8	37.2	136.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL -11.2%

SAS +66.8%

SAS +17.5%

ATL -25.0%

SAS +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	SAS	NBA	ATL	SAS	NBA
this game	14.4	15.1	15.1	94.8	95.9	104.2
season	14.9	15.4		106.7	106.9
opponent	14.9	15.4		101.1	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.0	14.1	14.7	12.1	14.4
SAS	13.8	15.9	16.0	15.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thabo Sefolosha	36	34	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.07	5	-7	12	12.7	15.4	-2.76	16.6	14.4	2.23
Dennis Schroder	17	18	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.04	4	-6	10	12.5	14.8	-2.34	15.4	15.1	0.38
Mike Scott	30	28	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-4	6	13.0	15.0	-1.98	16.1	14.7	1.41
Shelvin Mack	11	11	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	2	-6	15.4	14.3	1.08	16.8	14.9	1.90
Pero Antic	32	31	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.19	3	-5	8	14.8	14.2	0.66	14.3	15.5	-1.18
Kent Bazemore	22	21	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	4	-10	13.2	14.8	-1.58	17.1	14.6	2.56
Kyle Korver	74	75	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.46	6	-8	14	14.9	13.0	1.89	14.7	16.6	-1.87
Al Horford	62	64	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.35	-4	2	-6	14.1	15.0	-0.89	15.4	14.7	0.65
Jeff Teague	68	69	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.46	-1	-1	0	14.9	13.3	1.61	14.8	16.0	-1.18
DeMarre Carroll	62	65	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.25	-10	8	-18	15.3	12.8	2.55	14.5	16.5	-1.99
Paul Millsap	71	74	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.41	-5	3	-8	14.9	13.0	1.86	14.7	16.5	-1.81

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	68	65	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.47	7	-5	12	15.4	14.6	0.72	14.3	14.7	-0.43
Manu Ginobili	55	55	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.41	8	-6	14	13.4	17.3	-3.91	14.9	13.7	1.21
Tim Duncan	73	70	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.37	5	-3	8	14.5	17.0	-2.45	14.8	13.5	1.28
Tony Parker	76	75	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.43	2	0	2	15.1	15.1	0.05	14.4	14.5	-0.07
Kawhi Leonard	60	59	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.35	-2	4	-6	15.6	14.3	1.29	13.9	15.2	-1.29
Danny Green	65	66	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.14	-1	3	-4	16.3	12.9	3.40	14.5	14.3	0.21
Marco Belinelli	11	10	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	1	0	11.5	15.6	-4.04	16.8	14.1	2.67
Tiago Splitter	22	23	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.07	4	-2	6	14.2	15.4	-1.23	15.3	14.1	1.24
Jeff Ayres	25	26	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	5	-8	17.0	14.5	2.45	13.1	14.9	-1.81
Aron Baynes	0	1	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	2	-2	0.0	15.1	-15.13	24.0	14.3	9.70
Cory Joseph	29	29	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	4	-6	15.7	14.9	0.84	13.2	14.9	-1.66
Austin Daye	6	6	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.02	-9	11	-20	18.0	14.9	3.05	13.5	14.5	-0.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.92,0.79,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.77,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 104, MEM 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.87,0.83,0.78,0.87,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.74,1	92.0%
DEN 93, MEM 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.64,0.59,0.74,0.61,0.54,0.76,0.42,1	91.9%
GSW 96, HOU 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.86,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.58,0.7,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.79,0.55,0.26,1	91.8%