inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 93 Excitement8.0 [239] MVPDonnell Harvey (DEN): +22.1%
Memphis Grizzlies 96 Comeback7.2 [210] LVPPau Gasol (MEM): -14.5%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Donnell Harvey0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.120.110.001572%0.241-0.01250%-0.01
Junior Harrington0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.02-0.005100%0.143-0.081100%0.00
Ryan Bowen0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mark Blount-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Chris Whitney-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.09,0.01,0.01,-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.021137%-0.0300.002100%0.05
Nene-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01540%0.011-0.0400%0.00
Vincent Yarbrough-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.0000%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Rodney White-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.07-0.00-0.02267%0.014-0.062100%0.01
Kenny Satterfield-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.0030%-0.0800.0020%-0.03
James Posey-0.100,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1-0.05-0.07-0.011448%-0.033-0.071100%0.01
Juwan Howard-0.120,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.2,0.03,-0.12-0.06-0.08-0.022246%0.032-0.15450%-0.02
Nikoloz Tskitishvili-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.11-0.04-0.01921%-0.121-0.0210%-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Williams0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.15,0.210.210.000.20-0.01873%0.334-0.126100%0.14
Stromile Swift0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.02-0.003100%0.102-0.044100%0.02
Wesley Person0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.030.030.03-0.01-0.01870%0.072-0.04475%-0.02
Lorenzen Wright0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.03-0.01954%0.032-0.04850%-0.05
Earl Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.020.00460%0.011-0.042100%0.01
Gordan Giricek0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.01729%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Mike Batiste0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.040.0000%-0.0700.0020%-0.07
Drew Gooden0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.05-0.001164%0.075-0.1300%0.00
Pau Gasol0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15-0.15-0.06-0.12-0.031746%-0.032-0.12580%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.51.628.515.622.12.439.4136.1
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +26.8%
MEM +38.0%
DEN -1.2%
DEN -16.4%
MEM +2.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENMEMNBADENMEMNBA
this game15.515.015.598.9101.1101.6
season15.715.390.4101.8
opponent15.215.3105.199.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN16.613.116.715.815.5
MEM15.416.414.613.615.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nikoloz Tskitishvili4343-0.02-0.480.46-0.299-122114.016.7-2.7214.015.8-1.79
Nene5152-0.05-0.450.39-0.236-91514.416.8-2.4616.213.52.72
Vincent Yarbrough1517-0.06-0.440.38-0.091-4514.715.6-0.9114.715.0-0.33
Kenny Satterfield78-0.11-0.390.29-0.02-30-314.415.6-1.1613.715.1-1.34
Donnell Harvey5756-0.16-0.340.17-0.315-81315.215.9-0.6914.515.6-1.12
Rodney White2525-0.21-0.290.08-0.15-2-1-113.116.4-3.3015.714.71.01
Junior Harrington2527-0.22-0.280.05-0.313-6912.716.5-3.7914.815.1-0.28
Ryan Bowen2425-0.24-0.260.01-0.13-41-516.715.11.6216.314.51.82
Mark Blount2626-0.25-0.25-0.010.10-129-2117.214.92.3414.515.2-0.71
Chris Whitney6361-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.27-63-916.613.23.3915.114.70.38
James Posey6465-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.28-63-916.613.13.5714.615.8-1.25
Juwan Howard7171-0.540.04-0.57-0.27-96-1516.412.83.6014.915.2-0.25

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Stromile Swift46430.75-0.250.990.83-36-913.816.1-2.3613.916.8-2.89
Drew Gooden74730.65-0.150.800.3012-92114.915.3-0.3915.814.41.44
Wesley Person65660.64-0.140.780.2912-92114.915.1-0.1816.213.92.24
Pau Gasol79780.63-0.130.770.379-61514.616.6-1.9816.112.73.31
Jason Williams61620.56-0.060.630.338-51315.114.80.2416.114.31.80
Earl Watson3432-0.060.56-0.630.08-58-1314.815.1-0.2414.316.1-1.80
Gordan Giricek3028-0.140.64-0.780.13-912-2115.114.90.1813.916.2-2.24
Mike Batiste2121-0.150.65-0.800.11-912-2115.314.90.3914.415.8-1.44
Lorenzen Wright6567-0.380.88-1.26-0.3803-316.212.24.0115.914.61.22


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.64,0.59,0.74,0.61,0.54,0.76,0.42,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 93, NOH 960.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.87,0.85,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.81,0.54,0.67,0.58,192.5%
ATL 92, SAS 940.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.92,0.79,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.77,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.58,191.9%
ORL 88, UTA 890.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.55,0.46,0.68,0.58,191.8%