inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 93 Excitement7.4 [355] MVPEmeka Okafor (NOH): +36.7%
New Orleans Hornets 96 Comeback1.4 [410] LVPChris Paul (NOH): -23.6%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.080.020.00683%0.1000.0000%0.00
Chris Bosh0.070,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.070.040.040.011358%0.101-0.0300%0.00
Udonis Haslem0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.040.00750%0.0600.002100%0.02
Joel Anthony0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
LeBron James0.000,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.16,-0.26,-0.17,0-0.020.030.011650%0.203-0.20887%0.12
Dwyane Wade-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.22,0.17,0.17,-0.050.02-0.08-0.011662%0.307-0.3513100%0.12
James Jones-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.050.02-0.07-0.00650%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Carlos Arroyo-0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.0120%-0.051-0.0210%-0.01
Eddie House-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17-0.11-0.06-0.001020%-0.131-0.0300%0.00

New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Emeka Okafor0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.37,0.37,0.370.370.220.160.011390%0.391-0.02367%-0.01
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.180.18-0.000.18-0.01750%0.201-0.032100%0.08
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.10.10-0.010.08-0.031350%0.152-0.0500%0.00
David West0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.080.08-0.010.08-0.011250%0.132-0.05683%0.03
Jason Smith0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.02-0.011052%0.071-0.02367%0.01
Marcus Thornton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.00383%0.0500.0000%0.00
Willie Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00450%0.011-0.0300%0.00
DJ Mbenga0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jerryd Bayless0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.0020%-0.032-0.0500%0.00
Chris Paul0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24-0.24-0.05-0.19-0.001345%-0.113-0.133100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.32.430.516.425.52.642.3144.0
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOH +48.5%
MIA -18.5%
NOH +5.7%
NOH +22.9%
MIA -8.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIANOHNBAMIANOHNBA
this game15.216.415.5101.1106.7105.7
season16.016.2109.0104.6
opponent15.915.6104.4102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA17.614.516.312.815.2
NOH15.818.215.016.716.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Jones5654-0.03-0.470.44-0.4715-183313.118.7-5.6117.315.12.12
Udonis Haslem5148-0.07-0.430.37-0.277-101713.517.4-3.8217.215.51.80
Zydrunas Ilgauskas4443-0.14-0.360.23-0.233-6914.216.2-2.0916.916.00.90
Joel Anthony2525-0.22-0.280.060.07-107-1718.813.94.8716.016.6-0.62
Eddie House4847-0.25-0.250.01-0.395-81313.617.0-3.3517.015.71.32
Carlos Arroyo3030-0.28-0.22-0.060.04-118-1918.713.65.1215.916.6-0.72
Chris Bosh6363-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.33-41-516.113.32.7815.917.7-1.79
Dwyane Wade7675-0.530.03-0.56-0.32-74-1115.713.22.4216.018.5-2.47
LeBron James8482-0.580.08-0.67-0.41-63-915.413.71.6416.218.5-2.29

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Smith45500.73-0.230.970.1819-163515.817.0-1.2215.015.5-0.46
Trevor Ariza70710.61-0.110.720.359-61515.719.0-3.3315.414.80.57
Chris Paul68690.52-0.020.540.269-61515.618.8-3.1315.913.42.42
Marco Belinelli57580.450.050.400.334-1516.815.71.0816.013.92.08
David West53520.140.36-0.220.37-811-1916.516.40.1015.614.80.80
Emeka Okafor65660.120.38-0.270.1203-316.316.7-0.4316.013.42.60
Marcus Thornton19190.080.42-0.330.0803-316.716.30.4115.415.20.22
Willie Green3537-0.020.52-0.540.13-58-1316.616.30.3613.516.5-3.00
Jerryd Bayless2223-0.020.52-0.540.16-69-1518.815.63.1313.415.9-2.42
DJ Mbenga1615-0.110.61-0.730.09-710-1719.415.83.6812.115.9-3.72


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.87,0.85,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.81,0.54,0.67,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 93, HOU 950.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.76,0.9,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.64,0.57,0.73,193.7%
DEN 93, MEM 960.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.64,0.59,0.74,0.61,0.54,0.76,0.42,192.5%
MEM 96, SAC 1040.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.8,0.77,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.74,0.81,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.86,0.81,0.61,0.68,0.63,0.78,0.85,192.3%