NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	96		Excitement	7.1 [416]		MVP	Brad Miller (SAC): +59.6%
Sacramento Kings	104		Comeback	1.2 [924]		LVP	Mike Miller (MEM): -17.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0.38	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.39,0.39,0.38	0.12	0.22	-0.04	15	60%	0.38	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.02
Hakim Warrick	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.01	0.02	7	76%	0.10	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Shane Battier	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Burks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	12	46%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.06,-0.04	0.03	-0.08	-0.01	7	64%	0.05	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	16	38%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	15	41%	-0.05	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.04
Mike Miller	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.08	-0.00	7	19%	-0.10	1	-0.07	2	50%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.27,0.54,0.6	0.60	0.15	0.45	0.01	9	92%	0.67	2	-0.08	6	100%	0.10
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.22	0.06	0.02	8	110%	0.28	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.04	0.02	5	92%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brian Skinner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.04	0.02	13	45%	0.03	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.03
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	11	65%	0.10	5	-0.19	1	100%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.08	0.01	21	40%	-0.08	4	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	2.0	28.2	16.3	22.5	2.7	34.5	132.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +66.4%

SAC +11.2%

MEM -9.4%

MEM -13.9%

MEM -4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	SAC	NBA	MEM	SAC	NBA
this game	17.3	15.0	15.6	107.9	116.9	104.4
season	17.1	15.3		103.5	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.7		103.8	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	20.9	15.2	17.4	15.9	17.3
SAC	12.4	14.8	16.1	16.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Burks	5	4	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.04	2	-10	12	10.6	17.7	-7.13	16.2	15.0	1.27
Jake Tsakalidis	11	10	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.05	1	-9	10	11.9	18.1	-6.18	15.9	14.9	0.98
Lorenzen Wright	9	8	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.08	-6	-2	-4	26.4	16.3	10.14	11.9	15.3	-3.47
Brian Cardinal	42	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.27	3	-11	14	15.3	19.1	-3.77	16.0	14.2	1.79
Chucky Atkins	48	47	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	-1	-6	18.7	15.7	2.96	13.9	16.4	-2.51
Pau Gasol	72	74	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.22	-1	-7	6	18.3	13.0	5.35	14.5	17.6	-3.09
Eddie Jones	54	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.24	-1	-7	6	18.3	15.9	2.37	14.7	15.5	-0.84
Shane Battier	70	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-3	-2	18.2	14.2	3.96	14.9	15.6	-0.77
Mike Miller	45	48	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.15	-7	-1	-6	16.0	18.7	-2.77	15.6	14.3	1.33
Bobby Jackson	45	46	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.20	-6	-2	-4	15.6	19.1	-3.58	16.2	13.8	2.31
Hakim Warrick	44	45	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	5	-18	17.0	17.6	-0.55	15.4	14.7	0.70

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Martin	86	85	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.21	13	-5	18	14.9	18.0	-3.07	17.2	19.2	-2.01
Kenny Thomas	79	79	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.19	11	-3	14	14.7	17.9	-3.23	18.1	11.6	6.45
Mike Bibby	72	73	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.16	11	-3	14	14.0	19.4	-5.34	18.2	13.2	5.05
Brad Miller	67	69	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.09	10	-2	12	14.3	17.3	-2.97	18.7	12.5	6.16
Metta World Peace	78	79	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.28	0	8	-8	15.0	15.0	0.04	17.4	16.5	0.93
Francisco Garcia	33	31	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.10	2	6	-4	16.7	14.1	2.64	15.0	18.6	-3.62
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	21	20	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.23	-4	12	-16	18.8	13.9	4.88	12.7	18.7	-5.97
Brian Skinner	9	9	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	11	-14	18.0	14.7	3.30	11.3	18.0	-6.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.8,0.77,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.74,0.81,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.86,0.81,0.61,0.68,0.63,0.78,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 71, PHI 80	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.99,1	92.4%
MIA 93, NOH 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.87,0.85,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.81,0.54,0.67,0.58,1	92.3%
NOH 96, GSW 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.88,0.83,0.55,0.72,0.83,0.95,1	91.9%