NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	71		Excitement	5.3 [722]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +1.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	80		Comeback	1.0 [580]		LVP	John Starks (NYK): -11.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	13	54%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brooks Thompson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Herb Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	9	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terry Cummings	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	5	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Allan Houston	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	18	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	9	39%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.07	0.02	14	52%	0.00	2	-0.11	5	80%	0.04
John Starks	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.07	0.01	16	56%	0.10	4	-0.08	7	57%	-0.04
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	18	51%	0.04	2	-0.03	7	86%	-0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	9	62%	0.04	2	-0.03	6	83%	-0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	31%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	7	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.02
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	5	33%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	25.6	15.8	31.4	2.4	37.2	137.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +7.2%

PHI +17.4%

PHI +3.5%

PHI +19.2%

PHI +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	PHI	NBA	NYK	PHI	NBA
this game	16.7	17.6	15.6	84.5	95.2	102.5
season	15.7	15.4		100.4	99.7
opponent	15.5	16.3		102.1	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.4	18.8	15.3	15.7	16.7
PHI	18.6	17.2	17.5	17.0	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Davis	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-9	9	10.0	16.9	-6.89	3.5	17.9	-14.40
Herb Williams	1	0	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-7	5	0.0	16.9	-16.93	0.0	17.6	-17.56
Brooks Thompson	7	7	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-4	-1	20.4	16.4	4.04	15.4	17.8	-2.32
Charles Oakley	57	59	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.28	2	-11	13	17.0	16.2	0.80	18.6	15.1	3.53
Chris Mills	64	65	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.34	4	-13	17	16.2	18.3	-2.07	18.0	16.1	1.88
Terry Cummings	32	31	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	1	-11	18.0	15.9	2.11	15.6	18.7	-3.09
John Starks	32	31	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	3	-15	18.1	15.9	2.26	15.4	18.8	-3.44
Charlie Ward	74	75	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-5	1	16.4	19.5	-3.15	17.9	15.0	2.87
Larry Johnson	76	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.19	-8	-1	-7	16.4	20.0	-3.62	17.9	14.2	3.66
Allan Houston	75	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.18	-10	1	-11	16.6	18.0	-1.43	18.0	14.4	3.59

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Coleman	70	71	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.17	11	-2	13	18.3	13.7	4.61	16.4	18.3	-1.87
Brian Shaw	45	46	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.14	11	-2	13	14.4	21.2	-6.71	16.8	16.6	0.17
Theo Ratliff	69	69	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.25	4	5	-1	17.8	16.3	1.49	17.0	15.5	1.53
Eric Snow	27	24	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.09	8	1	7	13.4	19.5	-6.12	18.0	16.2	1.78
Allen Iverson	70	75	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.09	8	1	7	18.7	12.1	6.59	16.7	16.7	0.07
Aaron McKie	66	64	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.24	2	7	-5	18.3	14.8	3.47	16.0	18.9	-2.92
Mark Davis	34	33	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	4	1	20.6	15.5	5.19	16.8	16.7	0.05
Joe Smith	39	38	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.18	-4	13	-17	16.3	18.7	-2.43	17.0	16.5	0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 96, GSW 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.88,0.83,0.55,0.72,0.83,0.95,1	94.5%
LAL 82, POR 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.88,0.94,0.88,0.87,0.75,0.79,0.9,0.97,1	94.5%
PHI 91, WAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.83,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.85,0.78,0.69,0.71,0.84,0.98,1	94.4%