NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	91		Excitement	6.2 [524]		MVP	Theo Ratliff (PHI): +7.2%
Washington Wizards	100		Comeback	1.0 [909]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -18.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Theo Ratliff	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.02	0.04	9	73%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Tim Thomas	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	6	53%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	0.03
Derrick Coleman	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	11	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	13	85%	0.03
Joe Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	10	45%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kebu Stewart	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	8	39%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Mark Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	11	42%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Allen Iverson	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19	-0.10	-0.08	0.00	14	44%	-0.05	3	-0.14	8	100%	0.04

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	17	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
God Shammgod	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.12,-0.05,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	28	41%	0.07	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Harvey Grant	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	80%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	15	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rod Strickland	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	19	51%	0.05	3	-0.11	13	77%	0.01
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Terry Davis	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.6	30.2	17.5	30.2	1.8	37.2	144.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +41.2%

PHI -22.9%

WAS +33.8%

WAS +3.6%

PHI -5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	WAS	NBA	PHI	WAS	NBA
this game	14.6	17.2	15.6	101.1	109.9	102.5
season	15.4	15.1		99.7	102.8
opponent	15.6	15.5		102.2	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.1	14.5	15.0	12.9	14.6
WAS	16.6	16.8	16.3	19.0	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kebu Stewart	24	24	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.12	7	-16	23	12.2	15.5	-3.36	14.7	18.0	-3.29
Tim Thomas	39	39	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-11	13	15.1	14.3	0.83	19.3	15.6	3.69
Derrick Coleman	44	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-5	1	14.8	14.4	0.41	17.1	17.2	-0.12
Mark Davis	14	15	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-4	-1	14.9	14.6	0.35	19.4	16.7	2.66
Aaron McKie	68	72	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-9	9	14.4	15.5	-1.09	17.1	17.6	-0.58
Eric Snow	18	17	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.04	-10	1	-11	14.9	14.6	0.39	16.2	17.4	-1.23
Brian Shaw	52	52	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.26	-1	-8	7	14.3	15.1	-0.77	15.4	19.5	-4.09
Joe Smith	53	53	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-5	1	14.5	14.8	-0.26	16.6	17.9	-1.28
Allen Iverson	72	72	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.16	-14	5	-19	14.7	14.4	0.24	17.6	15.5	2.15
Theo Ratliff	66	67	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.13	-16	7	-23	15.5	12.2	3.36	18.0	14.7	3.29

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rod Strickland	83	82	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.22	12	-3	15	16.6	22.9	-6.25	14.7	13.6	1.11
Chris Webber	84	83	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.24	8	1	7	17.9	8.3	9.63	14.7	14.3	0.38
Calbert Cheaney	82	80	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.18	10	-1	11	17.2	16.6	0.69	14.3	16.9	-2.55
Tracy Murray	58	59	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.14	6	3	3	17.1	17.4	-0.34	14.5	14.8	-0.26
Harvey Grant	45	43	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.05	9	0	9	16.0	18.3	-2.33	15.6	13.7	1.90
Ben Wallace	35	33	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.23	2	7	-5	14.6	18.8	-4.14	14.4	14.8	-0.43
Terry Davis	51	52	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	7	-5	19.6	14.0	5.58	15.3	13.8	1.51
God Shammgod	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	9	-9	14.0	17.2	-3.21	10.0	14.7	-4.69
Darvin Ham	0	1	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	10	-11	0.0	17.2	-17.18	5.0	14.7	-9.74
Chris Whitney	16	16	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	12	-15	17.5	17.1	0.39	12.4	15.1	-2.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.83,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.85,0.78,0.69,0.71,0.84,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 104, CHH 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.71,0.78,0.62,0.85,0.89,0.95,1	94.7%
NYK 71, PHI 80	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.99,1	94.4%
MIN 94, DAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.89,0.96,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.93,0.9,0.84,1	93.7%