NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	82		Excitement	5.7 [402]		MVP	Brian Grant (POR): +7.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	88		Comeback	1.0 [707]		LVP	Isaiah Rider (POR): -18.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	8	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	19	52%	0.08	1	-0.08	10	50%	-0.05
Ruben Patterson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Reid	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	3	40%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Glen Rice	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	14	36%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.17	-0.06	-0.11	0.01	15	59%	-0.04	6	-0.14	7	86%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	5	67%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.04	0.00	11	55%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	12	62%	0.05	2	-0.02	10	70%	-0.02
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	75%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	12	54%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	12	42%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19	-0.19	-0.19	-0.03	-0.04	8	20%	-0.08	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	1.8	29.0	17.4	25.6	2.6	37.0	142.4
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +15.1%

POR +5.0%

POR +27.2%

POR +0.3%

POR +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	POR	NBA	LAL	POR	NBA
this game	16.4	16.5	15.8	95.3	98.9	99.6
season	14.9	16.0		104.7	102.0
opponent	15.9	15.8		96.2	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.7	17.0	17.3	17.0	16.4
POR	13.5	16.5	17.0	19.9	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Patterson	4	4	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-4	2	19.7	16.3	3.49	16.2	16.5	-0.26
Tyronn Lue	28	28	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-2	-2	17.2	16.1	1.13	15.9	16.8	-0.83
J.R. Reid	25	27	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.02	-8	2	-10	16.2	16.5	-0.36	16.3	16.6	-0.34
Robert Horry	49	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-5	4	16.5	16.3	0.26	15.7	17.6	-1.98
Travis Knight	37	40	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-3	0	15.7	16.9	-1.21	17.3	15.8	1.51
Derek Fisher	58	61	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	-4	2	16.1	17.2	-1.13	16.8	15.9	0.83
Glen Rice	72	72	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.35	0	-6	6	16.7	15.2	1.44	16.7	15.4	1.34
Kobe Bryant	82	85	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.31	-4	-2	-2	16.3	19.7	-3.49	16.5	16.2	0.26
Shaquille O'Neal	75	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.28	-6	0	-6	16.5	15.5	1.00	16.5	16.7	-0.23

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arvydas Sabonis	49	49	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.23	12	-6	18	17.9	14.8	3.12	16.7	16.0	0.69
Damon Stoudamire	67	65	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.18	8	-2	10	15.3	20.2	-4.90	15.6	18.8	-3.16
Isaiah Rider	56	55	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.18	4	2	2	16.3	16.8	-0.47	15.0	18.9	-3.94
Jim Jackson	54	51	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.42	-5	11	-16	17.8	14.5	3.26	17.3	15.1	2.20
Stacey Augmon	43	42	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.02	10	-4	14	14.0	18.8	-4.74	15.4	17.4	-1.94
Rasheed Wallace	56	51	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.05	7	-1	8	15.2	18.7	-3.45	16.0	17.0	-1.03
Brian Grant	46	47	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.28	-3	9	-12	18.7	14.1	4.65	17.3	15.4	1.85
Walt Williams	23	22	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	6	-6	17.6	16.1	1.50	17.9	15.9	1.94
Greg Anthony	22	21	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.14	-2	8	-10	20.2	15.3	4.90	18.8	15.6	3.16
Kelvin Cato	28	27	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	7	-8	14.2	17.5	-3.33	16.8	16.3	0.52
Jermaine O'Neal	1	0	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	6	-6	0.0	16.7	-16.68	0.0	16.4	-16.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.88,0.94,0.88,0.87,0.75,0.79,0.9,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 71, PHI 80	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.99,1	94.5%
ORL 104, CHH 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.71,0.78,0.62,0.85,0.89,0.95,1	94.0%
LAL 99, BKN 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.69,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.9,0.95,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.81,0.89,0.94,0.96,1	94.0%