NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	96		Excitement	6.1 [574]		MVP	David Lee (GSW): +13.5%
Golden State Warriors	103		Comeback	1.2 [933]		LVP	Roger Mason Jr. (NOH): -7.8%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	7	71%	0.21	3	-0.15	7	100%	0.04
Dominic McGuire	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0	0.08	-0.07	0.01	22	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.05
Robin Lopez	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	0.08	-0.09	0.03	13	77%	0.14	4	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	21%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	11	55%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	33%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.03	0.02	16	67%	0.18	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	8	70%	0.13	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.02
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	57%	0.09	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.05
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	15	53%	0.05	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	13	46%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	29.5	13.8	25.6	2.7	33.0	130.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH -0.3%

GSW +10.9%

GSW +15.9%

GSW +23.2%

GSW +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	GSW	NBA	NOH	GSW	NBA
this game	16.8	14.6	15.4	105.5	112.0	104.1
season	16.3	14.6		103.9	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.6		103.7	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	19.0	16.2	16.6	15.7	16.8
GSW	13.8	13.8	14.7	16.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robin Lopez	27	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-4	1	16.8	16.9	-0.10	15.0	14.5	0.52
Al-Farouq Aminu	6	7	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	-2	-3	18.7	16.7	1.95	15.3	14.6	0.70
Lance Thomas	41	40	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-3	-1	17.1	16.6	0.46	13.0	15.9	-2.86
Brian Roberts	27	24	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	-3	-1	16.2	17.1	-0.94	16.2	14.1	2.06
Roger Mason Jr.	32	30	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.09	-3	-4	1	16.2	17.2	-0.97	15.1	14.4	0.68
Ryan Anderson	77	76	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.39	3	-10	13	16.8	17.4	-0.60	15.0	12.7	2.29
Dominic McGuire	47	48	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-3	-1	16.5	17.2	-0.78	15.8	13.4	2.36
Austin Rivers	60	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-3	-1	17.0	16.6	0.35	14.4	15.1	-0.68
Greivis Vasquez	64	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.26	-3	-4	1	17.1	16.2	0.94	14.1	16.2	-2.06
Anthony Davis	74	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.23	-8	1	-9	17.1	15.8	1.33	14.2	16.9	-2.74

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Draymond Green	44	42	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.36	13	-6	19	14.7	14.6	0.08	17.7	16.1	1.66
Jarrett Jack	63	63	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.25	6	1	5	15.1	13.7	1.39	16.8	16.9	-0.12
Klay Thompson	69	68	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.18	8	-1	9	14.1	16.3	-2.16	16.8	16.9	-0.09
Stephen Curry	76	76	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.24	3	4	-1	14.1	17.1	-3.01	16.8	17.0	-0.18
David Lee	75	72	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.25	2	5	-3	14.0	17.5	-3.47	16.8	16.8	0.01
Charles Jenkins	16	16	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	1	5	17.1	14.1	3.01	15.9	17.0	-1.10
Harrison Barnes	38	39	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	5	-3	14.0	15.1	-1.09	16.6	17.1	-0.49
Richard Jefferson	10	9	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.10	-2	9	-11	18.3	14.2	4.10	16.0	16.9	-0.94
Festus Ezeli	22	22	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.01	1	6	-5	13.7	14.9	-1.20	17.2	16.7	0.50
Kent Bazemore	0	1	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	7	-7	0.0	14.6	-14.64	4.0	17.0	-12.99
Carl Landry	47	47	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.01	-4	11	-15	16.0	13.2	2.78	17.0	16.7	0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.88,0.83,0.55,0.72,0.83,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 71, PHI 80	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.99,1	94.5%
CHH 89, MIN 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.87,0.78,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.76,0.71,0.83,0.92,1	93.3%
ORL 81, UTA 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.79,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.62,0.63,0.77,0.91,1	93.3%