NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	81		Excitement	6.2 [555]		MVP	Al Jefferson (UTA): +37.0%
Utah Jazz	87		Comeback	1.1 [958]		LVP	Jeremy Evans (UTA): -11.8%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Nicholson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	5	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	0.00	16	50%	0.07	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
JJ Redick	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0	-0.07	0.04	-0.03	12	48%	0.09	5	-0.10	5	80%	0.01
Glen Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	16	47%	0.06	3	-0.07	6	67%	0.00
DeQuan Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gustavo Ayon	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	0	0%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
E'Twaun Moore	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	9	33%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1	0.04	-0.11	0.03	12	62%	0.02	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.18	0.17	-0.01	20	69%	0.45	1	-0.09	5	100%	0.03
Paul Millsap	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	14	59%	0.14	2	-0.05	9	67%	-0.01
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.07	0.10	-0.01	7	21%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	7	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	9	43%	-0.00	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	6	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.08	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.4	29.0	14.8	25.5	2.5	32.4	128.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +31.6%

UTA +0.2%

ORL -3.5%

UTA +20.7%

UTA +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	UTA	NBA	ORL	UTA	NBA
this game	16.1	15.4	15.4	89.0	94.6	104.1
season	15.5	16.0		100.3	104.6
opponent	15.1	15.3		105.0	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.4	16.9	14.8	16.3	16.1
UTA	13.6	13.8	16.5	18.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Harkless	28	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	-1	-4	16.7	15.8	0.94	15.6	15.3	0.35
DeQuan Jones	7	6	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.00	-5	-1	-4	15.3	16.2	-0.88	14.3	15.5	-1.12
Josh McRoberts	11	10	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-2	-2	14.2	16.4	-2.18	16.1	15.3	0.81
E'Twaun Moore	16	17	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	0	-6	14.5	16.4	-1.94	15.5	15.4	0.11
Andrew Nicholson	17	16	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	2	-10	14.0	16.6	-2.58	14.2	15.6	-1.37
Glen Davis	72	73	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.29	2	-8	10	16.7	13.9	2.72	15.5	14.9	0.61
Gustavo Ayon	21	22	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	0	-6	14.5	16.6	-2.05	15.7	15.3	0.40
JJ Redick	68	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-8	10	15.8	16.9	-1.09	15.3	15.5	-0.19
Nikola Vucevic	72	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.29	0	-6	6	16.5	14.6	1.85	15.4	15.3	0.15
Arron Afflalo	68	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-6	6	16.5	14.9	1.59	15.3	15.6	-0.28
Jameer Nelson	75	75	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-6	6	16.4	14.5	1.94	15.4	15.5	-0.11

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordon Hayward	44	43	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.40	4	2	2	15.9	14.9	1.06	15.7	16.5	-0.85
Al Jefferson	68	68	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.18	10	-4	14	15.1	16.1	-1.01	15.7	17.2	-1.44
Randy Foye	59	57	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.23	4	2	2	14.6	16.8	-2.19	16.4	15.7	0.67
Paul Millsap	74	73	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	4	-2	15.0	17.0	-2.01	16.6	13.9	2.75
Earl Watson	28	30	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.11	5	1	4	17.0	14.7	2.38	16.1	16.1	0.00
Mo Williams	64	61	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.21	1	5	-4	14.7	17.0	-2.38	16.1	16.1	-0.00
Jeremy Evans	12	12	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.11	2	4	-2	17.5	15.1	2.44	13.8	16.4	-2.61
DeMarre Carroll	36	37	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.13	0	6	-6	17.6	14.0	3.62	15.8	16.3	-0.49
Enes Kanter	29	29	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	8	-10	16.3	15.0	1.36	16.5	15.9	0.61
Marvin Williams	46	45	0.00	0.49	-0.49	-0.11	4	2	2	14.0	16.7	-2.72	16.4	15.8	0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.79,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.62,0.63,0.77,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 71, PHI 80	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.99,1	94.0%
NOH 96, GSW 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.88,0.83,0.55,0.72,0.83,0.95,1	93.3%
GSW 74, SAS 76	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.77,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.71,0.85,0.79,0.71,0.86,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.85,1	93.0%