inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 74 Excitement7.1 [392] MVPToney Douglas (GSW): +16.7%
San Antonio Spurs 76 Comeback1.0 [1063] LVPAndre Iguodala (GSW): -27.6%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Toney Douglas0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.030.021475%0.1700.0000%0.00
Draymond Green0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.002125%0.0600.0000%0.00
Harrison Barnes0.000,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.010.00642%0.0000.0000%0.00
David Lee-0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.070.050.011343%0.053-0.08475%0.02
Marreese Speights-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.02233%0.012-0.062100%0.01
Jermaine O'Neal-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.080.01-0.00420%-0.032-0.042100%0.02
Andrew Bogut-0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19-0.07-0.13-0.01743%-0.093-0.1000%0.00
Klay Thompson-0.250,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.25,-0.25-0.12-0.130.001634%-0.143-0.1100%0.00
Andre Iguodala-0.280,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.28-0.10-0.18-0.00756%-0.116-0.17250%-0.04

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.050.05-0.01475%0.1100.0000%0.00
Kawhi Leonard0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.080.080.11-0.010.02876%0.0800.0010%-0.02
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.02-0.00437%0.0100.0000%0.00
Boris Diaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.00-0.00847%0.0000.0010%-0.02
Jeff Ayres0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.01150%0.012-0.042100%0.01
Danny Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.01625%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Tiago Splitter0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.00540%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Aron Baynes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.090.01-0.02731%-0.032-0.02250%-0.00
Tony Parker0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.030.011447%-0.022-0.051040%-0.18
Tim Duncan0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.09-0.12-0.001133%-0.103-0.112100%0.01
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.15,-0.22-0.22-0.11-0.13-0.011127%-0.152-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.52.428.414.722.22.639.1130.9
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +9.2%
GSW -16.1%
SAS +27.4%
SAS +22.7%
SAS +6.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWSASNBAGSWSASNBA
this game15.716.515.182.285.4105.2
season14.215.0105.9109.8
opponent15.015.3101.1102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW15.213.917.716.415.7
SAS16.113.315.023.616.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jermaine O'Neal3130-0.03-0.470.44-0.061-3415.815.60.2315.617.0-1.35
Draymond Green3231-0.04-0.460.41-0.01-1-1014.816.1-1.3614.417.7-3.29
Toney Douglas5251-0.05-0.450.40-0.112-4615.715.60.1816.316.8-0.50
Marreese Speights1615-0.14-0.360.22-0.02-42-616.715.41.2615.316.8-1.52
David Lee6766-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.413-5815.815.30.5317.114.82.30
Andre Iguodala8180-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.493-5816.013.02.9516.913.33.55
Andrew Bogut6059-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.37-31-415.615.8-0.2717.015.61.35
Klay Thompson7474-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.45-1-1015.416.7-1.2616.616.30.31
Harrison Barnes3739-0.580.08-0.66-0.29-108-1815.415.8-0.3817.216.01.11

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Duncan60590.460.040.420.373-1416.915.71.2415.515.9-0.43
Kawhi Leonard57590.420.080.340.4202-216.716.20.5815.216.5-1.26
Danny Green55540.350.150.20-0.0614-122615.418.4-3.0016.015.10.86
Marco Belinelli33320.350.150.190.38-13-417.516.01.4716.615.21.41
Tiago Splitter48480.300.200.100.097-51216.816.20.6215.515.8-0.33
Manu Ginobili39410.290.210.070.40-46-1017.116.11.0715.715.60.14
Tony Parker63630.250.250.000.1920216.915.71.2415.416.3-0.86
Jeff Ayres14150.100.40-0.30-0.024-2613.817.0-3.2512.716.2-3.51
Boris Diaw26260.080.42-0.340.34-911-2017.416.21.2118.214.63.62
Aron Baynes29310.040.46-0.420.07-13-415.716.9-1.2415.915.50.43
Patty Mills2122-0.130.63-0.770.01-57-1215.416.9-1.4414.516.0-1.47


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.77,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.71,0.85,0.79,0.71,0.86,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.85,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 85, HOU 880.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.85,0.85,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.83,0.81,0.66,0.85,0.95,193.6%
NYK 95, DEN 970.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.61,0.85,0.97,0.98,193.5%
ORL 104, CHH 1110.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.71,0.78,0.62,0.85,0.89,0.95,193.4%