NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	95		Excitement	6.9 [446]		MVP	Ty Lawson (DEN): +16.8%
Denver Nuggets	97		Comeback	1.0 [1150]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): -23.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani	0.15	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.03	0.02	11	73%	0.21	1	-0.06	8	87%	0.03
Iman Shumpert	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1	0.04	0.07	0.01	8	61%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16	-0.08	-0.07	0.01	9	40%	-0.05	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
J.R. Smith	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17	-0.05	-0.09	0.03	13	42%	-0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,-0.02,-0.08,-0.07,-0.24	0.01	-0.23	0.01	22	47%	-0.18	1	-0.06	13	85%	0.03

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.07	0.01	10	69%	0.21	2	-0.04	12	83%	0.01
Randy Foye	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	11	65%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	11	62%	0.11	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	9	59%	0.13	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	5	70%	0.09	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	25%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	9	46%	-0.03	2	-0.05	10	50%	-0.07
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	1.8	28.0	15.8	31.5	2.0	45.1	148.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +52.5%

DEN +3.1%

DEN +0.6%

NYK -2.9%

NYK -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DEN	NBA	NYK	DEN	NBA
this game	15.6	14.4	15.1	99.0	101.0	105.2
season	16.0	14.0		106.4	104.5
opponent	14.9	15.4		106.4	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.9	13.7	16.9	14.9	15.6
DEN	13.1	15.7	14.4	14.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pablo Prigioni	10	10	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.07	2	-4	6	18.6	15.2	3.38	13.8	14.5	-0.70
Beno Udrih	11	10	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	1	-4	13.5	15.8	-2.39	16.9	14.1	2.76
Metta World Peace	9	9	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.04	-3	1	-4	12.3	15.9	-3.57	17.2	14.1	3.08
Amar'e Stoudemire	29	30	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.09	1	-3	4	15.6	15.6	0.07	14.9	14.2	0.64
Tim Hardaway Jr.	28	28	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-4	6	15.7	15.5	0.20	16.5	13.6	2.88
Kenyon Martin	29	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.11	-8	6	-14	16.4	15.2	1.16	14.4	14.4	0.02
J.R. Smith	65	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.48	5	-7	12	14.9	16.9	-1.96	14.2	14.9	-0.69
Iman Shumpert	65	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.34	-2	0	-2	15.9	15.0	0.89	13.9	15.5	-1.51
Raymond Felton	75	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.41	-1	-1	0	15.5	15.9	-0.42	14.2	15.3	-1.17
Andrea Bargnani	78	78	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.47	1	-3	4	15.7	14.8	0.91	14.3	15.2	-0.91
Carmelo Anthony	81	81	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.42	-4	2	-6	15.7	14.9	0.76	14.0	16.9	-2.89

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ty Lawson	72	70	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.41	6	-4	10	14.0	15.7	-1.76	16.1	14.1	2.05
Wilson Chandler	67	68	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.30	6	-4	10	13.9	15.6	-1.61	16.0	14.6	1.41
JJ Hickson	63	64	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.26	6	-4	10	14.7	13.8	0.88	15.7	15.4	0.25
Randy Foye	62	62	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.32	3	-1	4	13.7	15.8	-2.07	15.7	15.4	0.30
Kenneth Faried	43	43	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.04	12	-10	22	14.3	14.5	-0.18	15.7	15.5	0.27
Andre Miller	40	41	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.38	-5	7	-12	15.2	13.9	1.28	14.2	16.6	-2.36
Nate Robinson	36	36	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.19	-2	4	-6	14.9	14.1	0.83	15.3	15.7	-0.47
Timofey Mozgov	31	30	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	5	-8	14.7	14.3	0.37	15.5	15.6	-0.06
Darrell Arthur	28	29	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.11	-4	6	-10	14.5	14.4	0.10	15.9	15.4	0.51
Evan Fournier	11	11	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	3	-4	16.1	14.2	1.88	14.4	15.7	-1.37
Jordan Hamilton	27	26	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.13	-8	10	-18	15.1	14.2	0.95	15.0	15.8	-0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.61,0.85,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 108, PHX 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.79,0.83,0.79,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.93,0.9,0.92,1	93.7%
UTA 82, LAL 90	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.63,0.73,0.71,0.84,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.95,0.99,0.99,1	93.7%
MIL 89, GSW 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.84,0.98,1,1	93.6%