NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	89		Excitement	5.7 [656]		MVP	Mickael Pietrus (GSW): +29.1%
Golden State Warriors	98		Comeback	1.1 [1174]		LVP	Avery Johnson (GSW): -15.1%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Smith	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.05	-0.02	6	57%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Desmond Mason	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	12	59%	0.06	0	0.00	10	80%	0.01
Dan Gadzuric	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.02	15	60%	0.06	2	-0.04	10	80%	0.01
Brian Skinner	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	9	60%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Santiago	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	10	45%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	0.00	4	20%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Erick Strickland	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	6	21%	-0.06	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.04

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.14	0.16	0.00	9	90%	0.31	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.09	-0.01	13	60%	0.18	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.06	-0.02	6	50%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	-0.00	13	62%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.03	-0.03	16	45%	0.03	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	57%	0.01	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	15	40%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	-0.00	5	25%	-0.06	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	2.0	32.0	15.7	27.2	2.4	27.3	128.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +52.2%

MIL -8.2%

GSW +13.2%

MIL -4.7%

MIL -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	GSW	NBA	MIL	GSW	NBA
this game	14.8	17.2	15.7	98.9	108.9	100.5
season	15.3	16.1		103.6	100.8
opponent	15.3	15.5		101.6	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.1	13.3	14.4	15.4	14.8
GSW	13.9	18.0	19.9	17.4	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Santiago	1	0	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-11	13	19.0	14.8	4.22	0.0	17.2	-17.18
Dan Gadzuric	6	7	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-8	7	15.5	14.8	0.73	25.1	16.5	8.64
Brevin Knight	33	34	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.08	0	-9	9	14.7	14.9	-0.25	18.3	16.5	1.75
Toni Kukoc	20	20	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-7	5	13.7	15.1	-1.44	18.9	16.7	2.28
Damon Jones	29	29	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.01	-7	-2	-5	15.7	14.4	1.28	15.6	18.0	-2.40
Desmond Mason	61	59	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.31	3	-12	15	14.2	16.2	-1.99	17.7	16.1	1.60
Erick Strickland	44	43	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.19	-2	-7	5	14.2	15.4	-1.16	17.5	16.9	0.64
Brian Skinner	67	66	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-1	-7	15.2	13.8	1.34	16.7	18.6	-1.97
Joe Smith	52	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.11	-10	1	-11	15.2	14.3	0.97	15.8	19.3	-3.50
Michael Redd	75	75	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.21	-9	0	-9	14.7	15.4	-0.69	17.0	18.3	-1.31
Keith Van Horn	62	63	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	2	-13	15.2	14.0	1.25	17.2	17.2	-0.06

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	65	62	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.12	13	-4	17	16.7	18.4	-1.75	14.8	14.9	-0.10
Mike Dunleavy	71	69	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.14	12	-3	15	16.7	18.9	-2.18	14.6	15.6	-1.04
Clifford Robinson	79	79	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.20	9	0	9	16.8	19.7	-2.90	14.9	14.5	0.42
Jason Richardson	78	77	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.14	11	-2	13	17.0	18.2	-1.14	14.5	16.8	-2.28
Mickael Pietrus	55	56	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.22	7	2	5	16.7	17.9	-1.16	15.6	13.6	1.94
Avery Johnson	27	28	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	8	-7	17.9	16.9	1.07	15.1	14.7	0.36
Troy Murphy	26	27	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	10	-11	19.2	16.4	2.83	15.3	14.6	0.62
Calbert Cheaney	39	41	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.13	-4	13	-17	18.4	16.2	2.22	14.3	15.2	-0.93
Adonal Foyle	10	11	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.08	-3	12	-15	17.9	17.1	0.81	14.9	14.8	0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.84,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 87, SAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.87,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.61,0.85,0.98,1,1	94.4%
TOR 85, HOU 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.85,0.85,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.83,0.81,0.66,0.85,0.95,1	93.8%
NYK 95, DEN 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.61,0.85,0.97,0.98,1	93.6%