NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	87		Excitement	6.0 [589]		MVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): +33.9%
San Antonio Spurs	97		Comeback	1.0 [1127]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -14.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wilson Chandler	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.04	-0.03	12	59%	0.15	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Danilo Gallinari	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1	-0.00	0.08	-0.02	13	44%	0.10	1	-0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Sergio Rodriguez	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	6	75%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
David Lee	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	17	52%	0.01	2	-0.04	6	83%	-0.02
Henry Walker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tracy McGrady	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.07	-0.02	14	44%	-0.02	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.05

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.35,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.13	0.16	-0.05	18	64%	0.34	1	0.00	8	75%	0.02
Malik Hairston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	2	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	4	55%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.04	0.01	11	48%	0.08	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.03
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	11	59%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.04	0.01	7	56%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.05
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.07	0.04	17	50%	-0.08	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.5	25.4	15.4	26.4	2.6	34.2	131.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +37.6%

NYK -12.5%

SAS +40.5%

NYK -17.8%

SAS +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SAS	NBA	NYK	SAS	NBA
this game	14.4	16.6	15.3	93.5	104.3	106.0
season	14.7	15.9		105.9	108.2
opponent	15.1	15.5		103.4	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.4	14.9	15.6	13.9	14.4
SAS	15.4	17.9	16.5	16.7	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Henry Walker	41	40	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.20	11	-21	32	13.7	14.9	-1.23	16.6	16.5	0.05
Eddie House	31	31	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.03	3	-13	16	13.0	15.1	-2.15	15.9	16.9	-1.00
Toney Douglas	48	45	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-11	12	13.8	15.0	-1.21	15.8	17.3	-1.53
Sergio Rodriguez	27	28	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	-5	0	14.9	14.2	0.74	16.2	16.7	-0.51
Tracy McGrady	46	47	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.02	-11	1	-12	15.5	13.3	2.27	17.1	16.0	1.17
Al Harrington	61	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-2	-6	13.9	15.3	-1.44	16.2	17.2	-1.00
David Lee	67	69	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.18	-13	3	-16	15.2	12.3	2.90	17.3	14.5	2.73
Danilo Gallinari	74	75	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.10	-16	6	-22	15.0	11.9	3.15	16.9	15.1	1.88
Wilson Chandler	70	71	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.23	-12	2	-14	13.9	16.0	-2.19	16.3	17.3	-0.98

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio McDyess	47	46	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.08	23	-13	36	16.1	17.1	-1.02	14.9	13.9	1.02
Tim Duncan	65	64	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.15	14	-4	18	17.2	15.1	2.09	14.9	13.2	1.73
Manu Ginobili	67	67	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.17	13	-3	16	16.1	17.9	-1.82	14.0	15.5	-1.58
George Hill	78	77	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.25	10	0	10	17.1	13.9	3.14	15.0	11.6	3.42
Malik Hairston	24	23	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	7	-4	16.7	16.5	0.13	13.9	14.6	-0.64
Keith Bogans	53	53	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.03	8	2	6	17.0	16.0	0.96	15.1	13.5	1.58
Roger Mason Jr.	30	33	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	8	-6	15.0	17.3	-2.32	13.6	14.8	-1.18
DeJuan Blair	36	36	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.11	-7	17	-24	15.9	17.0	-1.02	14.0	14.6	-0.65
Matt Bonner	31	32	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.07	-7	17	-24	16.4	16.7	-0.32	13.5	14.9	-1.42
Richard Jefferson	34	34	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.11	-9	19	-28	17.4	16.1	1.37	13.5	14.9	-1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.87,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.61,0.85,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 89, GSW 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.84,0.98,1,1	94.4%
DEN 93, POR 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.76,0.7,0.72,0.81,0.76,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.66,0.71,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.88,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.85,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.86,0.91,0.79,0.71,0.83,0.75,0.89,0.98,1,1	94.0%
LAL 102, MIA 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.81,0.91,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.81,0.93,0.95,0.98,1	93.9%