inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 85 Excitement6.6 [391] MVPKyle Lowry (HOU): +23.5%
Houston Rockets 88 Comeback1.1 [966] LVPJerryd Bayless (TOR): -17.9%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ed Davis0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.040.04-0.00283%0.0800.00250%-0.01
Amir Johnson0.060,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.030.00771%0.092-0.0400%0.00
Aaron Gray0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.00267%0.0300.002100%0.01
James Johnson-0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.010.021257%0.042-0.054100%0.02
Jose Calderon-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.00939%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jamaal Magloire-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00150%-0.001-0.0320%-0.03
DeMar DeRozan-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.02-0.001450%0.012-0.04683%0.01
Leandro Barbosa-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.04-0.070.00961%0.061-0.0900%0.00
Anthony Carter-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.030.00333%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Linas Kleiza-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1-0.07-0.03-0.001032%-0.071-0.03250%-0.02
Jerryd Bayless-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.13-0.06-0.01633%-0.035-0.1500%0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.240.240.180.06-0.001284%0.323-0.09786%0.02
Chandler Parsons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.10.10-0.000.10-0.00643%0.1000.00250%-0.01
Samuel Dalembert0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.070.000.02667%0.0500.00367%-0.01
Greg Smith00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chase Budinger00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Patrick Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.01-0.011136%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Courtney Lee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.03-0.00650%-0.011-0.032100%0.01
Goran Dragic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.100.00-0.01714%-0.041-0.0400%0.00
Kevin Martin0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09-0.09-0.110.030.011537%-0.013-0.08887%0.00
Luis Scola0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.020.001250%0.055-0.15683%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.20.333.115.527.71.031.7135.5
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +5.8%
HOU +22.2%
HOU +6.6%
HOU +12.1%
HOU +3.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORHOUNBATORHOUNBA
this game15.714.815.689.593.6102.8
season16.515.498.9103.5
opponent15.515.2103.2102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR18.114.414.016.715.7
HOU13.813.814.217.614.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamaal Magloire3331-0.04-0.460.41-0.164-71115.715.7-0.0114.415.0-0.57
Anthony Carter2323-0.10-0.400.30-0.224-71115.215.9-0.6418.013.74.34
DeMar DeRozan5856-0.13-0.370.230.01-52-715.216.5-1.2413.816.2-2.47
Aaron Gray3637-0.16-0.340.180.02-63-915.316.0-0.6914.315.1-0.77
Jose Calderon4848-0.16-0.340.180.02-63-915.715.70.0513.815.7-1.91
Leandro Barbosa4848-0.20-0.300.11-0.4910-132316.015.40.6015.913.62.27
Jerryd Bayless2423-0.24-0.260.02-0.21-1-2116.115.60.5613.415.2-1.76
Linas Kleiza3838-0.25-0.250.00-0.343-6915.715.70.0515.614.21.41
Ed Davis4344-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.19-2-1-115.815.60.2014.814.70.14
Amir Johnson5957-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.22-41-515.615.8-0.1614.415.4-1.05
James Johnson6565-0.630.13-0.75-0.27-129-2116.114.81.3215.114.11.01

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kyle Lowry73740.490.010.480.316-3915.213.31.9116.014.81.15
Chandler Parsons61620.420.080.350.314-1515.114.11.0415.615.9-0.31
Courtney Lee45450.400.100.290.4003-315.514.11.4316.115.40.73
Kevin Martin64660.290.210.080.145-2713.916.7-2.8415.017.3-2.36
Patrick Patterson48470.280.220.050.34-25-714.015.6-1.5715.515.9-0.34
Luis Scola65670.230.27-0.040.1721115.014.10.9115.516.2-0.77
Samuel Dalembert54550.200.30-0.10-0.048-51314.015.8-1.8015.815.60.14
Goran Dragic37370.190.31-0.120.31-47-1115.314.40.9216.615.11.46
Greg Smith560.010.49-0.480.04-14-517.214.62.5719.315.53.87
Chase Budinger18160.000.50-0.500.09-36-914.714.8-0.1214.715.9-1.22


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.85,0.85,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.83,0.81,0.66,0.85,0.95,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 89, GSW 980.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.84,0.98,1,193.8%
GSW 74, SAS 760.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.77,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.71,0.85,0.79,0.71,0.86,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.85,193.6%
ATL 91, MIA 940.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.71,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.76,0.98,193.5%