NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	93		Excitement	8.4 [182]		MVP	Chase Budinger (HOU): +32.4%
Houston Rockets	95		Comeback	1.0 [1073]		LVP	Aaron Brooks (PHX): -18.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Childress	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.16	0.05	0.12	0.01	10	75%	0.23	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Zabian Dowdell	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.00	0.11	-0.00	11	50%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09	0.05	0.05	0.01	9	67%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	5	43%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Grant Hill	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.13	-0.01	-0.11	0.01	8	58%	-0.07	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.14	-0.05	-0.11	-0.02	21	46%	-0.07	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.14	-0.02	-0.12	0.00	8	37%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.17	-0.02	-0.01	9	11%	-0.11	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chase Budinger	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.32	0.32	0.04	0.27	-0.02	10	54%	0.32	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,0.12,0.12	0.12	-0.10	0.20	-0.02	18	46%	0.25	6	-0.13	3	100%	0.03
Charles Hayes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	15	58%	0.11	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.10
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	16	61%	0.11	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	7	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.01	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	6	17%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.4	25.5	14.0	29.7	1.8	34.4	131.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +9.1%

HOU +37.9%

HOU +11.1%

HOU +6.1%

PHX -14.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	HOU	NBA	PHX	HOU	NBA
this game	13.9	16.2	15.5	96.9	100.0	105.7
season	14.5	15.2		108.0	109.5
opponent	14.9	15.7		107.5	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.0	13.6	14.4	12.7	13.9
HOU	13.8	15.2	17.7	18.7	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mickael Pietrus	25	23	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.01	3	-5	8	13.0	14.2	-1.20	15.3	16.5	-1.18
Josh Childress	40	40	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.37	13	-15	28	13.2	14.4	-1.25	18.0	15.0	3.04
Zabian Dowdell	55	53	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.59	20	-22	42	13.1	15.1	-2.00	17.8	14.3	3.55
Jared Dudley	51	49	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.37	12	-14	26	13.4	14.5	-1.06	15.8	16.7	-0.88
Robin Lopez	27	26	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	1	-4	15.4	13.4	2.01	15.6	16.5	-0.92
Marcin Gortat	67	68	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.28	2	-4	6	13.6	14.8	-1.19	16.7	15.0	1.74
Hakim Warrick	50	50	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	8	-18	14.9	12.8	2.07	16.0	16.5	-0.43
Vince Carter	73	73	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.34	-9	7	-16	14.3	12.7	1.62	16.2	16.2	0.02
Grant Hill	49	50	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.21	-15	13	-28	13.9	14.0	-0.06	15.9	16.7	-0.81
Aaron Brooks	43	43	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	0.01	-23	21	-44	14.7	13.3	1.35	13.9	18.2	-4.22

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Lowry	77	78	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.38	9	-7	16	16.3	16.1	0.23	14.3	12.5	1.76
Chase Budinger	65	65	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.11	17	-15	32	15.4	18.1	-2.67	14.7	12.3	2.47
Charles Hayes	65	67	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.30	10	-8	18	16.0	16.8	-0.86	14.7	12.2	2.51
Kevin Martin	73	74	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.34	4	-2	6	15.8	17.5	-1.70	14.0	13.6	0.38
Patrick Patterson	54	54	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.24	-1	3	-4	17.0	15.2	1.84	14.1	13.7	0.34
Jordan Hill	46	45	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	1	0	15.7	16.8	-1.06	14.1	13.8	0.30
Courtney Lee	53	55	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.58	-16	18	-34	17.5	14.6	2.87	12.6	15.7	-3.11
Brad Miller	24	24	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.11	-7	9	-16	16.9	16.0	0.90	11.8	14.6	-2.85
Goran Dragic	18	18	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.06	-7	9	-16	16.1	16.3	-0.23	12.5	14.3	-1.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.76,0.9,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.64,0.57,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 93, NOH 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.87,0.85,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.81,0.54,0.67,0.58,1	93.7%
WAS 89, ATL 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.74,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.91,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.67,0.73,1	93.3%
NOH 94, POR 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.72,0.76,0.84,1	92.7%