NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	89		Excitement	6.7 [461]		MVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (ATL): +46.6%
Atlanta Hawks	91		Comeback	1.6 [592]		LVP	Bryon Russell (WAS): -13.3%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Christian Laettner	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16	0.06	0.11	0.01	6	83%	0.19	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,0.06,0.28,0.16	0.00	0.15	-0.00	23	46%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Brendan Haywood	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	56%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	13	54%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	2	67%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.09
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	14	47%	-0.03	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Bobby Simmons	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	9	43%	-0.05	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Bryon Russell	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.07,0,0.47	0.47	0.00	0.47	0.00	18	57%	0.53	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.09
Theo Ratliff	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.01	10	62%	0.13	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Dion Glover	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.06	-0.03	13	53%	0.09	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	58%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	58%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	18	46%	-0.00	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	3.6	28.1	18.8	26.2	3.5	32.9	139.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +51.0%

ATL +21.4%

WAS -29.4%

ATL +0.1%

ATL +6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ATL	NBA	WAS	ATL	NBA
this game	16.8	15.1	15.5	98.9	100.0	101.6
season	16.5	15.1		100.9	99.5
opponent	15.7	15.5		103.1	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.8	15.2	18.2	18.4	16.8
ATL	13.0	14.8	13.9	19.5	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kwame Brown	25	26	0.25	-0.75	0.99	0.19	2	-4	6	16.6	16.8	-0.19	18.7	13.6	5.04
Bryon Russell	26	28	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.17	9	-11	20	17.0	16.7	0.37	14.7	15.2	-0.44
Christian Laettner	53	53	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.07	-1	-1	0	17.7	15.5	2.19	15.1	15.0	0.05
Juan Dixon	28	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	-1	0	14.9	17.6	-2.74	15.8	14.7	1.03
Jerry Stackhouse	61	60	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	0	-2	16.2	18.0	-1.75	14.3	16.5	-2.12
Tyronn Lue	65	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.43	2	-4	6	17.8	14.0	3.79	14.3	17.2	-2.92
Jahidi White	23	24	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.17	-19	17	-36	18.3	16.2	2.11	12.1	16.1	-3.98
Michael Jordan	80	80	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.41	-3	1	-4	17.1	13.8	3.35	15.2	14.3	0.89
Brendan Haywood	52	51	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.72	7	-9	16	15.4	18.6	-3.21	14.7	15.4	-0.70
Bobby Simmons	37	37	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.54	-4	2	-6	16.0	17.3	-1.27	16.8	13.8	3.00

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Henderson	30	30	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.51	3	-1	4	15.3	15.0	0.32	15.5	17.4	-1.87
Jason Terry	82	83	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.25	11	-9	20	15.1	14.9	0.18	16.9	14.9	2.08
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	82	81	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.41	4	-2	6	14.6	19.2	-4.62	17.0	14.9	2.10
Dion Glover	81	80	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.40	4	-2	6	14.8	17.4	-2.63	16.6	18.4	-1.82
Ira Newble	71	71	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.40	-1	3	-4	15.3	14.2	1.10	17.3	14.8	2.45
Darvin Ham	31	29	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.20	1	1	0	14.8	15.2	-0.43	16.1	17.1	-1.05
Theo Ratliff	70	69	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.04	-3	5	-8	15.5	13.6	1.93	17.1	15.8	1.26
Dan Dickau	8	7	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.06	-9	11	-20	16.7	14.9	1.86	14.9	16.9	-2.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.74,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.91,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.67,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 93, HOU 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.76,0.9,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.64,0.57,0.73,1	93.3%
NYK 71, PHI 80	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.99,1	92.8%
ORL 90, CHI 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.82,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.84,0.78,0.75,0.9,0.94,0.99,1	92.7%