NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	90		Excitement	6.0 [596]		MVP	A.J. Guyton (CHI): +15.0%
Chicago Bulls	95		Comeback	1.0 [419]		LVP	Michael Ruffin (CHI): -20.0%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monty Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	64%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Elliot Perry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Michael Doleac	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.04	0.02	19	38%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Pat Garrity	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	15	44%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	0.04	19	51%	-0.00	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.04	19	34%	-0.04	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
A.J. Guyton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.01	0.00	11	82%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03	0.03	-0.09	0.08	-0.04	18	52%	0.12	5	-0.08	8	62%	-0.04
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	11	58%	0.04	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	9	46%	-0.01	4	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Khalid El-Amin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	9	41%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	10	31%	-0.10	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.16	-0.05	-0.01	5	38%	-0.16	2	-0.04	16	50%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.4	28.3	15.7	26.3	2.5	35.5	137.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +22.2%

CHI +2.4%

CHI +27.4%

ORL -3.3%

CHI +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CHI	NBA	ORL	CHI	NBA
this game	14.7	16.6	15.5	98.9	102.2	100.9
season	14.6	16.4		101.6	95.2
opponent	15.1	15.8		104.9	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.4	16.5	16.6	12.7	14.7
CHI	16.6	17.0	16.9	16.1	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pat Garrity	54	57	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.53	19	-24	43	14.7	14.6	0.15	16.3	17.1	-0.80
Elliot Perry	11	11	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-7	9	10.1	15.3	-5.20	18.9	16.3	2.59
Monty Williams	40	39	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-8	11	13.4	15.6	-2.25	18.5	15.2	3.30
Mike Miller	20	23	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.02	-8	3	-11	11.9	15.4	-3.47	14.8	17.2	-2.39
Michael Doleac	65	64	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.46	6	-11	17	14.5	15.2	-0.69	16.4	17.1	-0.70
Don Reid	21	22	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	7	-19	14.9	14.6	0.32	16.8	16.6	0.25
John Amaechi	32	34	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.14	-17	12	-29	16.5	13.7	2.79	16.2	16.8	-0.61
Bo Outlaw	50	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.16	-7	2	-9	15.4	13.8	1.64	17.0	16.2	0.77
Darrell Armstrong	75	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.28	-6	1	-7	15.5	10.7	4.82	16.1	18.8	-2.62
Tracy McGrady	87	89	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.33	-5	0	-5	14.7	14.5	0.17	16.6	16.5	0.13

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	78	75	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.29	10	-5	15	16.2	19.1	-2.91	14.5	15.2	-0.64
Ron Mercer	79	77	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.35	7	-2	9	15.9	20.7	-4.82	14.6	14.8	-0.15
Michael Ruffin	82	80	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.37	5	0	5	16.8	15.2	1.64	14.7	14.5	0.23
Metta World Peace	64	60	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.29	7	-2	9	17.6	14.5	3.11	14.3	15.4	-1.15
Khalid El-Amin	58	55	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.21	9	-4	13	16.3	17.2	-0.97	14.5	14.9	-0.33
A.J. Guyton	35	36	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.15	-4	9	-13	17.2	16.3	0.97	14.9	14.5	0.33
Fred Hoiberg	35	36	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	9	-13	16.4	16.7	-0.31	16.4	13.5	2.91
Marcus Fizer	34	36	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	10	-15	17.3	16.2	1.06	13.8	15.2	-1.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.82,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.84,0.78,0.75,0.9,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 88, PHX 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.81,0.95,1,0.99,1	94.2%
PHX 81, UTA 94	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.78,0.93,1,0.98,1,1	94.2%
ATL 94, NJN 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.82,0.8,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.82,0.72,0.81,0.89,0.8,0.96,1	93.9%