NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	94		Excitement	6.3 [552]		MVP	Donta Smith (ATL): +22.7%
New Jersey Nets	96		Comeback	1.1 [1152]		LVP	Josh Smith (ATL): -23.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donta Smith	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.11	0.12	0.00	7	81%	0.23	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Esteban Batista	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	4	80%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Royal Ivey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Edwards	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	9	28%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.08	0.16	-0.16	0.08	17	80%	0.23	5	-0.30	7	86%	0.03
Al Harrington	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	14	31%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
Anthony Grundy	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16	-0.01	-0.07	0.08	12	42%	-0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Josh Smith	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24	-0.17	-0.07	-0.01	15	23%	-0.20	2	-0.04	5	40%	-0.07

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.06	-0.02	21	50%	0.16	2	-0.03	12	92%	0.09
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.02	5	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.05	-0.02	6	50%	0.08	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zoran Planinic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.04	-0.03	11	46%	0.05	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	16	44%	-0.04	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.01
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	16	42%	-0.08	3	-0.06	8	62%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	28.4	14.8	27.7	1.6	36.2	135.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL -16.9%

NJN +27.8%

NJN +15.1%

NJN +21.6%

NJN +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NJN	NBA	ATL	NJN	NBA
this game	15.0	14.8	15.6	96.9	100.0	104.4
season	15.6	15.7		103.9	102.1
opponent	15.7	15.5		100.9	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.1	16.6	16.8	11.0	15.0
NJN	13.9	14.7	14.4	16.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Grundy	45	45	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.60	16	-18	34	13.2	16.7	-3.52	15.6	14.1	1.46
Tyronn Lue	42	38	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	6	-14	17.0	13.5	3.54	14.2	15.2	-0.98
Donta Smith	56	56	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.49	9	-11	20	14.3	16.0	-1.75	15.5	13.9	1.59
Esteban Batista	64	60	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.32	3	-5	8	15.3	14.5	0.75	15.0	14.4	0.62
John Edwards	30	32	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.04	-10	8	-18	15.3	14.9	0.37	14.8	14.8	0.06
Royal Ivey	20	21	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.13	-14	12	-26	16.0	14.8	1.27	14.4	14.9	-0.48
Joe Johnson	76	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.51	7	-9	16	14.8	16.0	-1.16	14.9	14.3	0.58
Josh Smith	89	89	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.47	2	-4	6	14.7	18.4	-3.63	14.7	16.0	-1.29
Al Harrington	63	61	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.04	-15	13	-28	15.7	13.8	1.97	13.9	16.4	-2.56

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nenad Krstic	68	68	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.15	20	-18	38	14.3	16.0	-1.64	15.0	15.1	-0.09
Vince Carter	77	78	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.29	10	-8	18	14.6	15.7	-1.10	15.0	15.3	-0.28
Jason Kidd	71	71	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.28	7	-5	12	14.3	16.2	-1.89	15.1	14.9	0.21
Richard Jefferson	79	77	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.50	-6	8	-14	14.9	14.4	0.47	14.8	15.8	-1.02
Jacque Vaughn	44	46	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.35	-6	8	-14	14.7	14.9	-0.18	14.5	15.5	-1.03
Jason Collins	59	59	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	1	0	15.6	13.6	2.01	15.0	15.2	-0.19
Zoran Planinic	22	24	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.10	1	1	0	15.7	14.5	1.14	15.3	14.9	0.39
Lamond Murray	14	14	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.10	-3	5	-8	15.8	14.6	1.15	17.7	14.6	3.12
Clifford Robinson	46	48	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.29	-14	16	-30	14.9	14.7	0.13	15.1	15.0	0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.82,0.8,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.82,0.72,0.81,0.89,0.8,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 90, CHI 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.82,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.84,0.78,0.75,0.9,0.94,0.99,1	93.9%
CHI 94, GSW 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.96,0.67,0.82,1	93.7%
POR 98, GSW 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.99,1	93.7%