NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	94		Excitement	6.4 [510]		MVP	Troy Murphy (GSW): +6.4%
Golden State Warriors	100		Comeback	1.0 [1053]		LVP	Jalen Rose (CHI): -26.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eddy Curry	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	69%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.02
Eddie Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	10	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Lonny Baxter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Corie Blount	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	2	67%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	-0.03	1	-0.01	6	33%	-0.05
Jay Williams	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14	-0.12	-0.05	-0.03	15	33%	-0.11	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Donyell Marshall	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19	-0.17	-0.03	-0.01	9	32%	-0.05	5	-0.13	4	75%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.21,-0.21	-0.04	-0.16	0.01	5	20%	-0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.12,-0.08,-0.26	0.04	-0.27	0.03	20	68%	0.11	6	-0.37	10	70%	-0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.01	13	59%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	4	83%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Dean Oliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
A.J. Guyton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	75%	0.06	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.04	-0.01	12	52%	0.05	4	-0.08	7	43%	-0.04
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	21	48%	-0.00	3	-0.13	10	70%	-0.01
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.04	-0.03	16	33%	-0.09	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.5	26.3	16.3	26.5	2.3	34.4	135.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +39.9%

GSW +3.1%

CHI -14.6%

GSW +19.6%

GSW +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	GSW	NBA	CHI	GSW	NBA
this game	14.3	15.7	15.5	97.9	104.2	101.6
season	15.0	14.6		98.3	105.3
opponent	15.1	15.1		106.8	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.9	13.9	13.0	17.0	14.3
GSW	15.5	13.3	17.0	17.3	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lonny Baxter	19	20	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-6	6	12.5	14.8	-2.27	16.4	15.5	0.94
Jamal Crawford	17	17	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	-2	-2	13.8	14.5	-0.63	12.6	16.3	-3.73
Trenton Hassell	36	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-7	8	16.8	12.9	3.89	17.2	14.7	2.55
Eddy Curry	29	29	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	0	-6	15.0	14.1	0.89	16.9	15.1	1.73
Corie Blount	36	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.26	2	-8	10	15.3	13.7	1.58	16.2	15.3	0.95
Tyson Chandler	37	36	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	2	-10	14.5	14.2	0.28	14.8	16.2	-1.41
Donyell Marshall	71	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-6	6	14.0	15.4	-1.37	15.1	17.2	-2.14
Eddie Robinson	60	60	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.14	-7	1	-8	12.9	16.8	-3.89	14.7	17.2	-2.55
Jay Williams	79	79	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.33	-2	-4	2	14.5	13.8	0.63	16.3	12.6	3.73
Jalen Rose	96	96	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	0	-6	14.3	0.0	14.34	15.7	0.0	15.66

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gilbert Arenas	82	83	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.21	9	-3	12	15.7	15.5	0.18	15.0	10.3	4.67
Jason Richardson	74	74	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.21	8	-2	10	15.4	16.4	-0.98	14.1	15.1	-1.03
Adonal Foyle	69	68	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.25	6	0	6	14.7	18.0	-3.26	14.8	13.3	1.44
Antawn Jamison	69	69	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.33	-1	7	-8	16.7	12.9	3.85	14.5	13.9	0.63
Troy Murphy	74	73	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.34	-2	8	-10	16.4	13.2	3.21	14.4	14.2	0.17
Danny Fortson	22	23	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.02	8	-2	10	13.2	16.4	-3.21	14.2	14.4	-0.17
Mike Dunleavy	38	38	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	5	-4	15.7	15.7	0.00	14.2	14.4	-0.22
Erick Dampier	27	28	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.09	0	6	-6	18.0	14.7	3.26	13.3	14.8	-1.44
Jiri Welsch	11	11	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	2	2	10.4	16.3	-5.98	15.3	14.2	1.05
Dean Oliver	13	12	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	8	-10	16.5	15.5	0.93	11.0	14.8	-3.82
A.J. Guyton	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	7	-8	3.0	15.8	-12.79	2.0	14.5	-12.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.96,0.67,0.82,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 105, NYK 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.84,0.95,0.74,1	94.4%
NOH 94, POR 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.72,0.76,0.84,1	94.4%
SAS 86, TOR 91	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.77,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.8,0.87,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.89,0.9,0.83,0.91,0.87,0.97,0.94,0.9,0.9,1	94.4%