NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	105		Excitement	5.7 [406]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +22.6%
New York Knicks	110		Comeback	1.0 [587]		LVP	David Wesley (CHH): -11.6%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chuck Person	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.01	0.03	7	87%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Phills	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.08,0.08	0.00	0.07	-0.00	12	53%	0.09	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.02
Chucky Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	10	52%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Charles Shackleford	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Eldridge Recasner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	4	80%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Elden Campbell	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	12	61%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Brad Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Beck	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	14	46%	-0.02	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Ricky Davis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.17,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	9	54%	-0.02	5	-0.10	8	87%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.13	0.09	-0.01	17	71%	0.26	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.05
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.22	0.22	0.07	0.14	-0.00	17	65%	0.26	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.04
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08	0.08	0.08	-0.00	-0.01	11	67%	0.08	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.07
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	4	58%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	14	43%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	64%	0.04	4	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.6	26.5	16.8	31.4	1.6	36.5	137.5
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +44.6%

CHH -2.4%

NYK +8.5%

CHH -3.3%

NYK +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	NYK	NBA	CHH	NYK	NBA
this game	15.2	16.1	15.8	114.1	119.6	99.6
season	15.7	16.0		99.2	97.0
opponent	16.6	15.5		95.1	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	15.4	17.9	14.3	13.7	15.2
NYK	15.3	16.4	16.3	16.3	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Shackleford	10	9	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-6	7	21.0	14.5	6.48	19.0	15.8	3.24
Ricky Davis	7	7	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-5	5	21.4	14.7	6.71	16.9	16.0	0.85
Corey Beck	7	7	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-5	5	21.4	14.7	6.71	16.9	16.0	0.85
Eldridge Recasner	27	27	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.31	9	-14	23	15.9	15.0	0.94	17.1	15.7	1.41
Chuck Person	41	42	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.43	12	-17	29	14.0	16.3	-2.30	16.2	15.9	0.30
Brad Miller	17	18	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	0	-5	18.7	14.4	4.27	17.2	15.8	1.36
Derrick Coleman	69	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-2	-1	14.6	17.2	-2.65	15.7	17.0	-1.21
Elden Campbell	47	48	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.00	-15	10	-25	14.8	15.6	-0.81	15.4	16.8	-1.34
Chucky Brown	65	65	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.04	-14	9	-23	15.0	15.9	-0.94	15.7	17.1	-1.41
Bobby Phills	85	85	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.35	-5	0	-5	14.7	21.4	-6.71	16.0	16.9	-0.85
David Wesley	85	85	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.35	-5	0	-5	14.7	21.4	-6.71	16.0	16.9	-0.85

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Johnson	57	57	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.05	14	-9	23	15.0	17.8	-2.74	14.8	15.9	-1.02
Latrell Sprewell	61	61	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.35	0	5	-5	16.0	16.1	-0.08	15.4	14.8	0.59
Patrick Ewing	64	63	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.13	7	-2	9	16.1	16.1	-0.04	14.9	15.9	-1.03
Allan Houston	80	78	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.36	-1	6	-7	16.4	13.6	2.87	15.1	16.2	-1.16
Marcus Camby	54	55	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.41	-4	9	-13	16.4	15.6	0.80	15.4	14.9	0.47
Charlie Ward	60	60	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.25	1	4	-3	16.5	15.2	1.27	14.8	15.9	-1.09
Chris Childs	32	33	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	1	3	15.2	16.5	-1.27	16.0	14.8	1.16
Kurt Thomas	39	40	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.09	1	4	-3	15.6	16.4	-0.76	14.9	15.5	-0.54
Chris Dudley	13	13	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	2	1	18.5	15.7	2.78	18.6	14.7	3.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.84,0.95,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 102, DAL 107	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.85,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.85,0.74,1	94.7%
BOS 91, DEN 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.84,0.77,0.88,0.87,0.78,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.78,0.69,0.85,0.95,0.83,1	94.6%
CHA 98, IND 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.97,0.97,1	94.6%