NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	98		Excitement	5.4 [728]		MVP	Troy Murphy (IND): +28.4%
Indiana Pacers	101		Comeback	1.0 [939]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (CHA): -22.2%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyson Chandler	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	5	68%	0.07	2	-0.02	9	78%	-0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	3	100%	0.08	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Stephen Graham	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
D.J. Augustin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	8	47%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05	0.03	-0.05	0.03	18	59%	0.06	5	-0.11	13	69%	-0.02
Ronald Murray	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.23,-0.22,-0.22	-0.14	-0.07	0.01	23	40%	-0.12	5	-0.10	9	78%	-0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.27	0.02	0.00	13	96%	0.28	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.00	0.00	6	79%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	11	62%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
T.J. Ford	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	9	65%	0.13	6	-0.11	5	100%	0.03
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	75%	0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	7	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.02	-0.00	7	33%	-0.00	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	8	22%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.4	34.5	16.5	27.6	2.0	36.0	146.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +59.9%

CHA -3.1%

CHA -9.1%

CHA -1.5%

IND +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	IND	NBA	CHA	IND	NBA
this game	15.4	13.7	15.3	100.0	101.0	106.0
season	16.2	14.2		103.0	102.2
opponent	15.1	15.4		105.3	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.0	14.5	15.8	15.5	15.4
IND	11.7	12.7	13.2	18.0	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Graham	31	33	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.14	7	-10	17	13.9	16.1	-2.17	13.6	13.7	-0.13
Nazr Mohammed	11	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-3	3	13.5	15.7	-2.21	14.2	13.6	0.55
Ronald Murray	23	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	2	-7	14.1	15.8	-1.74	11.5	14.4	-2.87
D.J. Augustin	59	60	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.41	6	-9	15	14.7	16.5	-1.82	14.3	12.7	1.65
Boris Diaw	75	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.37	-1	-2	1	15.6	14.7	0.94	13.6	14.0	-0.42
Gerald Wallace	87	89	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.39	-1	-2	1	15.6	14.1	1.50	14.0	11.0	3.02
Tyson Chandler	61	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.02	-14	11	-25	16.1	14.3	1.80	12.7	15.6	-2.94
Raymond Felton	58	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.25	-6	3	-9	16.6	13.6	2.99	14.4	12.6	1.83
Stephen Jackson	85	86	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.43	-1	-2	1	15.4	15.6	-0.23	13.8	13.0	0.80

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Murphy	82	81	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.33	8	-5	13	13.8	13.1	0.71	16.1	12.2	3.92
Mike Dunleavy	51	52	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.09	12	-9	21	12.7	14.8	-2.09	16.0	14.7	1.28
T.J. Ford	58	58	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	-1	5	14.3	12.9	1.35	16.0	14.6	1.43
Roy Hibbert	28	29	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.12	17	-14	31	12.1	14.3	-2.20	18.3	14.2	4.06
Brandon Rush	67	66	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.38	-2	5	-7	14.7	11.7	3.02	16.2	13.8	2.43
A.J. Price	24	24	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.03	7	-4	11	10.7	14.6	-3.98	14.6	15.7	-1.11
Earl Watson	45	44	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.30	-6	9	-15	13.1	14.2	-1.05	14.3	16.4	-2.08
Tyler Hansbrough	43	41	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.26	-5	8	-13	13.4	13.9	-0.56	13.6	16.7	-3.07
Dahntay Jones	58	54	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.38	-11	14	-25	14.7	12.3	2.38	14.2	16.9	-2.62
Solomon Jones	44	41	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.19	-9	12	-21	14.6	13.0	1.65	14.2	16.3	-2.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.97,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 97, CHI 102	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.94,0.98,1	95.4%
BOS 93, LAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.98,1,1	95.2%
LAC 85, NJN 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.1%