NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	85		Excitement	4.3 [972]		MVP	Vince Carter (NJN): +16.1%
New Jersey Nets	99		Comeback	1.2 [1125]		LVP	Sam Cassell (LAC): -13.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter McCarty	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	10	59%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Daniel Ewing	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	71%	0.04	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	61%	0.02	2	-0.02	8	62%	-0.02
James Singleton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yaroslav Korolev	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	15	45%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Chris Wilcox	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.05	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	17	49%	0.03	4	-0.08	9	56%	-0.04
Chris Kaman	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	15	31%	-0.10	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.03	-0.01	22	60%	0.19	2	-0.03	14	86%	0.03
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	10	61%	0.07	1	-0.01	8	37%	-0.04
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	6	67%	0.07	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.01	12	65%	0.10	5	-0.09	7	86%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zoran Planinic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.4	31.4	14.7	30.0	1.4	29.7	134.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +36.2%

NJN +6.3%

NJN +8.4%

NJN +0.7%

LAC -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	NJN	NBA	LAC	NJN	NBA
this game	14.9	14.8	15.6	87.6	102.1	104.4
season	15.2	15.7		103.9	102.1
opponent	15.7	15.5		100.9	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.3	15.8	15.2	14.3	14.9
NJN	15.1	13.6	14.8	15.7	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Ewing	18	18	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.09	4	-18	22	12.9	15.3	-2.40	15.1	14.7	0.39
James Singleton	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-15	16	8.7	15.2	-6.41	16.7	14.7	2.04
Yaroslav Korolev	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-15	16	8.7	15.2	-6.41	16.7	14.7	2.04
Chris Wilcox	20	19	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-14	14	13.5	15.3	-1.76	14.4	14.9	-0.53
Walter McCarty	41	41	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-14	14	14.5	15.2	-0.67	15.3	14.4	0.86
Shaun Livingston	63	63	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.14	-3	-11	8	14.5	15.6	-1.15	15.2	14.0	1.27
Cuttino Mobley	78	79	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-5	-4	14.8	15.4	-0.65	14.7	15.3	-0.66
Chris Kaman	47	48	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-3	-8	16.1	13.8	2.35	15.0	14.6	0.41
Quinton Ross	59	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.02	-14	0	-14	15.3	14.2	1.13	14.6	15.0	-0.39
Elton Brand	82	82	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.04	-18	4	-22	15.0	14.1	0.90	14.4	16.8	-2.37
Sam Cassell	69	70	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.04	-21	7	-28	15.9	12.4	3.47	14.5	15.6	-1.16

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	79	78	0.65	-0.15	0.81	-0.05	24	-10	34	14.2	17.6	-3.46	15.9	10.6	5.30
Jason Kidd	71	71	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.01	14	0	14	14.3	16.1	-1.75	15.6	12.8	2.80
Nenad Krstic	72	73	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	1	12	14.7	15.1	-0.44	15.3	13.7	1.63
Richard Jefferson	87	87	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.09	10	4	6	15.1	12.3	2.78	14.9	14.6	0.33
Jason Collins	56	54	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	4	6	15.3	14.0	1.29	15.1	14.6	0.57
Clifford Robinson	31	31	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	11	-8	13.5	15.4	-1.93	14.0	15.3	-1.27
Scott Padgett	31	32	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.04	3	11	-8	15.1	14.6	0.49	15.2	14.8	0.39
Lamond Murray	18	18	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.04	0	14	-14	15.6	14.6	1.00	12.9	15.4	-2.47
Jacque Vaughn	32	33	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	19	-24	15.9	14.2	1.71	12.6	16.1	-3.52
Zoran Planinic	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	15	-16	16.7	14.7	2.04	8.7	15.2	-6.41
Jeff McInnis	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	15	-16	16.7	14.7	2.04	8.7	15.2	-6.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 110, TOR 122	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.71,0.74,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.7,0.73,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.6%
ORL 81, CHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
BOS 96, ORL 117	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.65,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.7,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%